ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NKE // Nike Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000320187 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Shoe Manufacturing
$39.12 ▲ +0.45 (+1.16%)
MKT CAP: $57.44B • VOL: 22.96M
NKE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -33.2% vs NI -3.4% • ROIC-WACC +12.4% • Z 3.82
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 18% • VS 200D -15.3% • RSI 61.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.8% • P/E 17.1x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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NKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $38.42H $39.12L $38.42C $39.12VOL 26.99M
RES: $39.01SUP: $29.25SMA50: $36.83SMA200: $45.66
$66.12$56.87$47.61$38.35$29.10RES $39.01SUP $29.25$39.122026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
NKE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Nike Inc. (NKE) exhibits 42.9% gross margins and 21.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Shoe Manufacturing), balanced against a 13.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 42.9% gross profitability converts into 8.2% operating margin and 21.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 21.2% // GM: 42.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.2% paired with 3.83% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.2% // FCF YLD: 3.83%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.82 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.82 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.4x trailing P/E (17.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.4x // EV/EBITDA: 13.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $39.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Shoe Manufacturing require continuous execution to defend 6.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.7% // D/E: 0.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.4x
FORWARD P/E 17.1x
EV / EBITDA 13.1x
FCF YIELD 3.83%
GROSS MARGIN 42.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.2%
NET MARGIN 6.7%
ROIC % 21.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.09
DEBT / EQUITY 0.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.22%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NKEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $35.80
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>