ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NOVT // Novanta Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001076930 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$146.24 ▲ +0.48 (+0.33%)
MKT CAP: $5.51B • VOL: 395.3K
NOVT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 63) -> C- (RQD 59)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -65.7% vs NI -16% • ROIC-WACC -2.8% • Z 8.3
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 61% • VS 200D +2.3% • RSI 51.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.41
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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NOVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $151.2H $151.2L $145.8C $146.2VOL 421.3K
RES: $154.3SUP: $126.9SMA50: $142.8SMA200: $142.6
$180.2$164.3$148.3$132.3$116.4RES $154.3SUP $126.9$146.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
NOVT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Novanta Inc. (NOVT) exhibits 44.4% gross margins and 6.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 51.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 44.4% gross profitability converts into 9.6% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.5% // GM: 44.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.3% paired with 0.85% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.3% // FCF YLD: 0.85%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.30 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.30 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 106.2x trailing P/E (98.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 106.2x // EV/EBITDA: 51.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $146.24 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 5.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.5% // D/E: 0.16x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 98.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.01).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 106.2x
FORWARD P/E 98.8x
EV / EBITDA 51.7x
FCF YIELD 0.85%
GROSS MARGIN 44.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.6%
NET MARGIN 5.5%
ROIC % 6.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.42
DEBT / EQUITY 0.16x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.01
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NOVTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $133.81
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>