ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NUE // Nucor Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000073309 ↗
Materials • Steel/Iron Ore
$273.87 ▼ -1.42 (-0.52%)
MKT CAP: $62.46B • VOL: 1.47M
NUE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 97% • VS 200D +22.4% • RSI 67.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.39
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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NUE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.28%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $271.8H $275.3L $271.8C $273.9VOL 1.49M
RES: $276.9SUP: $222.0SMA50: $255.0SMA200: $225.0
$288.4$253.9$219.4$184.9$150.4RES $276.9SUP $222.0$273.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NUE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Nucor Corporation (NUE) exhibits 11.9% gross margins and 7.0% return on invested capital within Materials (Steel/Iron Ore), balanced against a 13.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 11.9% gross profitability converts into 6.5% operating margin and 7.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.0% // GM: 11.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.7% paired with -0.30% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.7% // FCF YLD: -0.30%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.53 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.53 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 35.8x trailing P/E (33.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 35.8x // EV/EBITDA: 13.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $273.87 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Steel/Iron Ore require continuous execution to defend 5.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.4% // D/E: 0.26x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.98).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 35.8x
FORWARD P/E 33.3x
EV / EBITDA 13.0x
FCF YIELD -0.30%
GROSS MARGIN 11.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.5%
NET MARGIN 5.4%
ROIC % 7.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.69
DEBT / EQUITY 0.26x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.82%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.98
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NUEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $250.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NUE & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>