ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OEC // Orion S.A.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001609804 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$5.60 ▲ +0.06 (+1.08%)
MKT CAP: $316.5M • VOL: 280.6K
OEC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 39/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
39 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +72.2% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -4.7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
6 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 29% • VS 200D -12.2% • RSI 49.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 9 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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OEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.54H $5.60L $5.54C $5.60VOL 280.6K
RES: $7.57SUP: $4.90SMA50: $5.77SMA200: $6.38
$8.89$7.85$6.82$5.78$4.75RES $7.57SUP $4.90$5.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
OEC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Orion S.A. (OEC) exhibits 19.9% gross margins and 2.2% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 33.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 19.9% gross profitability converts into 1.5% operating margin and 2.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.2% // GM: 19.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.8% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.8% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 33.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $5.60 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend -3.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.9% // D/E: 1.75x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 33.7x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 19.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.5%
NET MARGIN -3.9%
ROIC % 2.2%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.75x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.50%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OECPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $5.12
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>