ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OM // Outset Medical Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001484612 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus
$4.02 ▼ -0.01 (-0.25%)
MKT CAP: $75.8M • VOL: 54.3K
OM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D- (RQD 41) -> E (RQD 34)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
34 / 100 -7D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +59.8% vs NI +36.2% • ROIC-WACC -35.9% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 11% • VS 200D -2.7% • RSI 51.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.03 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.25
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did OM's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever OM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

OM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.16%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.19H $4.19L $4.02C $4.02VOL 81.5K
RES: $4.41SUP: $2.23SMA50: $3.72SMA200: $4.14
$8.68$7.10$5.52$3.93$2.35RES $4.41SUP $2.23$4.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
OM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Outset Medical Inc. (OM) exhibits 39.1% gross margins and -28.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 39.1% gross profitability converts into -55.8% operating margin and -28.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -28.0% // GM: 39.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.1% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.1% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.02 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 39.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -55.8%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -28.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $3.68
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for OM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>