ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

OSK // Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000775158 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Manufacturing
$139.94 ▲ +4.67 (+3.45%)
MKT CAP: $8.35B • VOL: 1.33M
OSK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +129.7% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +5.2% • Z 3.36
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +7.4% • P/E 10.6x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.43
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did OSK's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever OSK is Upgraded or Downgraded.

OSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $137.9H $139.9L $135.3C $139.9VOL 1.67M
RES: $161.7SUP: $119.1SMA50: $139.0SMA200: $146.2
$163.8$151.0$138.3$125.6$112.8RES $161.7SUP $119.1$139.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
OSK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) exhibits 17.5% gross margins and 14.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Manufacturing), balanced against a 8.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.5% gross profitability converts into 9.0% operating margin and 14.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.4% // GM: 17.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.9% paired with 7.40% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.9% // FCF YLD: 7.40%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.36 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.36 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.4x trailing P/E (10.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.4x // EV/EBITDA: 8.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $139.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Manufacturing require continuous execution to defend 7.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.0% // D/E: 0.24x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.05).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.4x
FORWARD P/E 10.6x
EV / EBITDA 8.3x
FCF YIELD 7.40%
GROSS MARGIN 17.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.0%
NET MARGIN 7.0%
ROIC % 14.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $11.87
DEBT / EQUITY 0.24x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.56%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.05
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // OSKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $128.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for OSK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>