ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PAYX // Paychex Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000723531 ↗
Industrials • Diversified Commercial Services
$112.12 ▲ +2.75 (+2.51%)
MKT CAP: $38.93B • VOL: 3.54M
PAYX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 81/100 [A-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
81 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +35.8% vs NI +6.2% • ROIC-WACC +21.5% • Z 3.03
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6% • P/E 18.6x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.10 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.11
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did PAYX's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PAYX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PAYX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.24%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $108.2H $112.1L $108.2C $112.1VOL 2.12M
RES: $142.1SUP: $100.8SMA50: $112.2SMA200: $103.4
$130.8$119.1$107.3$95.54$83.78RES $142.1SUP $100.8$112.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PAYX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 67/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Paychex Inc. (PAYX) exhibits 73.4% gross margins and 28.6% return on invested capital within Industrials (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 15.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 73.4% gross profitability converts into 39.8% operating margin and 28.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 28.6% // GM: 73.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.5% paired with 5.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.5% // FCF YLD: 5.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.03 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.1x trailing P/E (18.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.1x // EV/EBITDA: 15.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $112.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 27.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 27.9% // D/E: 1.17x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.92).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.1x
FORWARD P/E 18.6x
EV / EBITDA 15.5x
FCF YIELD 5.96%
GROSS MARGIN 73.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 39.8%
NET MARGIN 27.9%
ROIC % 28.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.94
DEBT / EQUITY 1.17x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.08%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.92
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PAYXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $102.59
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PAYX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>