ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PCAR // PACCAR Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000075362 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Manufacturing
$101.91 ▼ -0.38 (-0.37%)
MKT CAP: $53.86B • VOL: 4.50M
PCAR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 58/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
58 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF -3.4% vs NI -42.9% • ROIC-WACC +1% • Z 3.23
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +6.8% • P/E 21.1x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.09 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.35
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did PCAR's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PCAR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PCAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $102.4H $102.4L $101.9C $101.9VOL 3.96M
RES: $110.5SUP: $99.74SMA50: $113.7SMA200: $119.9
$142.0$130.6$119.3$107.9$96.54RES $110.5SUP $99.74$101.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PCAR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) exhibits 20.1% gross margins and 10.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Manufacturing), balanced against a 16.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 20.1% gross profitability converts into 10.2% operating margin and 10.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.0% // GM: 20.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -15.5% paired with 6.82% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -15.5% // FCF YLD: 6.82%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.23 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.23 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.7x trailing P/E (21.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.7x // EV/EBITDA: 16.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $101.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Manufacturing require continuous execution to defend 8.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.4% // D/E: 0.46x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 21.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.16).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.7x
FORWARD P/E 21.1x
EV / EBITDA 16.3x
FCF YIELD 6.82%
GROSS MARGIN 20.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.2%
NET MARGIN 8.4%
ROIC % 10.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -15.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.51
DEBT / EQUITY 0.46x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.21%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 27.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.16
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PCARPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $93.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PCAR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>