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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PCAR
F (39) HMC (67) GM (57) RACE (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$101.91 -0.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.65

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $53.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PCAR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PCAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, PACCAR Inc. (NASDAQ: PCAR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $101.91 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $53.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PCAR ranks #368 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PCAR compare to F and HMC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), PCAR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.7x, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of 10.0%. By comparison, F (Ford Motor Company) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $48.41B) and HMC (Honda Motor Company Ltd.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $43.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCAR leads on earnings multiple (22.7x) while PCAR leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PCAR?
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Per PCAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000075362), PACCAR Inc. generated $28.44B in revenue (-15.5% YoY), $2.38B in net income, and $3.67B in free cash flow against $44.34B in total assets and $10.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.65 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$146 Bull$102 Base$79 Bear
📬 FREE PCAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PCAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PCAR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($3.67B FCF) & 20.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$107.98+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$110.07-5.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$103.73-1.8% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$101.91+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PCAR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, PCAR faces multiple-compression risk if 22.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 17.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.69) or 200D SMA ($119.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($101.91) toward Bear Floor ($79.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PCAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PCAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
27.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.23>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE
L: $94$101.91H: $139
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (20% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on PCAR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

10.0% ROIC with 20.1% gross margin and 6.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.23 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PCAR
  • ✓Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PCAR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PCAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
PCAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $102.4H $102.4L $101.9C $101.9VOL 3.96M
RES: $110.5SUP: $99.74SMA50: $113.7SMA200: $119.9
$142.0$130.6$119.3$107.9$96.54RES $110.5SUP $99.74$101.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PCAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PCAR Butterfly Map → + Track PCAR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PCAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PCAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PCAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PCAR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #368 of 1011 ⚔️ F vs PCAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PCAR vs. F, HMC, GM, RACE)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) ranks #368 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #42 by equity capitalization ($53.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PCAR leads on earnings valuation at 22.7x trailing P/E, while PCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.0% ROIC and 20.1% gross margin. HMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with PCAR at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PCAR ACTIVE
PACCAR Inc.
D+ 58/100 22.7x 20.1% 10.0% -0.37% $53.86B Benchmark Subject
F
Ford Motor Company
D- 39/100 — 6.8% -6.1% -0.89% $48.41B /f-vs-pcar →
HMC
Honda Motor Company Ltd.
C+ 67/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.21% $43.97B /hmc-vs-pcar →
GM
General Motors Company
D+ 57/100 26.0x — 1.7% +1.96% $72.31B /gm-vs-pcar →
RACE
Ferrari N.V.
C 63/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.95% $93.52B /race-vs-pcar →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000075362

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) reported GAAP revenue of $28.44B (-15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.66B , and -19.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.38B, operating cash flow of $4.42B, and free cash flow of $3.67B (-3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PCAR closed FY2025 with $44.34B in total assets against $10.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.23, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $28.44B $2.38B $4.42B $3.67B $44.34B $10.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.66B $4.16B $4.64B $3.80B $43.42B $10.16B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $35.13B $4.60B $4.19B $2.61B $42.15B $9.86B

3. PCAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PCAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, PACCAR Inc. (NASDAQ: PCAR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $101.91 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $53.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PCAR ranks #368 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PCAR compare to F and HMC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), PCAR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.7x, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of 10.0%. By comparison, F (Ford Motor Company) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $48.41B) and HMC (Honda Motor Company Ltd.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $43.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PCAR leads on earnings multiple (22.7x) while PCAR leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PCAR?

Per PCAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000075362), PACCAR Inc. generated $28.44B in revenue (-15.5% YoY), $2.38B in net income, and $3.67B in free cash flow against $44.34B in total assets and $10.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PCAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PCAR last traded at $101.91 (-0.37% on volume of 4,500,920 shares), positioning the stock -10.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.69) and -15.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($119.92). Across its 52-week range of $93.86 to $139.24, PCAR sits at the 17.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($96.92 to $106.90).

PCAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PCAR stock right now?

PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PCAR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PCAR's 12-month base price target is $101.91 (range $79.49 to $146.2), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: PCAR RQD Cockpit PCAR 12M Forecast PCAR Earnings & Move PCAR Dividends & DRIP PCAR Insiders & 13F PCAR Whale Options PCAR Profit Sankey PCAR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PCAR — PACCAR Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PCAR scores 58 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 10% and an FCF yield of 6.82%. This is the pillar where the stock's cash generation supports the score most directly.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the weakest pillar, indicating limited support from institutional flow.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The source does not provide the underlying trade detail (see Analyst View section).
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.16 and sector sensitivity. This pillar weighs against the stock in the current regime per the score.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z of 3.23, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.46. The balance sheet is a moderate contributor.

For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars provide some support, while weak institutional flow and a high-beta macro fit weigh on the overall score. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 22.7 and an EV/EBITDA of 16.3, against a dividend yield of 4.21%. Upside drivers would need to come from improvement in the weaker pillars; the sell verdict reflects that the source data does not show that improvement yet. This is an analytical summary of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
102.29$53.86B22.721.116.34.514.21%1.16$93.86 - $139.2410%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference PCAR, sourced from Yahoo Finance, Trefis, and StockInvest.us. Headlines include reports of the stock sinking as the market gains, a run of seven straight red days with the stock down 7.5%, and a report on a dip more than the broader market. One item references "strong Q3 earnings" with the stock lagging. The feed also asks whether the company can keep an earnings surprise streak alive. Item impact labels are "CATALYST" for one item and "MARKET WIRE" for the rest; light signals are GREEN for one and YELLOW for five. The feed does not provide the underlying earnings figures, and the butterfly supply-chain graph reports no links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the cash and EPS figures for each reported fiscal year, given that the SEC financials mark both as N/A?
  • What drove the decline in reported revenue and net income from FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What do the Form 4, 13F, and Congressional PTR records underlying the insider and whale pillar scores actually show?
  • What is the underlying basis for the "strong Q3 earnings" reference and the earnings surprise streak mentioned in the news feed?
  • What product, customer, and supply-chain structure would explain the company's margins and macro sensitivity?

PCAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PCAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PCAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $101.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PCAR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PCAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $110.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PCAR (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $102.29?

Welcome to the PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $83.88 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $102.29

Pump the brakes on PCAR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PCAR, but look at what you are paying: 22.7x trailing P/E with 20.1% gross margins. Unless PACCAR Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $123.77 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $102.29

PCAR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PCAR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $102.29 (52-wk range $93.86 - $139.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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