ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

PM // Philip Morris International Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001413329 ↗
Health Care • Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products
$208.79 ▲ +0.29 (+0.14%)
MKT CAP: $324.98B • VOL: 4.59M
PM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 81/100 [A-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
81 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -1% vs NI +60.8% • ROIC-WACC +37.8% • Z 4.52
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.15 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.07
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did PM's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever PM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

PM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $202.6H $208.8L $202.6C $208.8VOL 4.03M
RES: $215.1SUP: $185.3SMA50: $194.9SMA200: $182.2
$217.9$203.3$188.7$174.1$159.6RES $215.1SUP $185.3$208.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 74/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Philip Morris International Inc (PM) exhibits 67.1% gross margins and 45.3% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products), balanced against a 21.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 67.1% gross profitability converts into 36.6% operating margin and 45.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 45.3% // GM: 67.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.3% paired with 3.28% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.3% // FCF YLD: 3.28%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.52 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.52 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 28.6x trailing P/E (26.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 28.6x // EV/EBITDA: 21.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $208.79 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medicinal Chemicals and Botanical Products require continuous execution to defend 27.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 27.9% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 26.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 28.6x
FORWARD P/E 26.6x
EV / EBITDA 21.7x
FCF YIELD 3.28%
GROSS MARGIN 67.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 36.6%
NET MARGIN 27.9%
ROIC % 45.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.28
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.65%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // PMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $191.05
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for PM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>