ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

QXO // QXO Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001236275 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • RETAIL: Building Materials
$11.04 ▼ -0.34 (-2.99%)
MKT CAP: $11.81B • VOL: 15.90M
QXO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 26/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
26 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -10.4% • Z 1.79
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 8% • VS 200D -33.6% • RSI 51.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF YIELD -0.4% • P/E 31x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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QXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.26%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $10.86H $11.38L $10.86C $11.04VOL 15.55M
RES: $11.29SUP: $9.46SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $17.15
$22.06$18.80$15.54$12.29$9.03RES $11.29SUP $9.46$11.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
QXO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

QXO Inc. (QXO) exhibits 23.0% gross margins and -1.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (RETAIL: Building Materials), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.0% gross profitability converts into -3.6% operating margin and -1.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -1.9% // GM: 23.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +180.0% paired with -0.39% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +180.0% // FCF YLD: -0.39%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.79 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (31.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $11.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in RETAIL: Building Materials require continuous execution to defend -4.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -4.1% // D/E: 0.31x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 31.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.92).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 31.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.39%
GROSS MARGIN 23.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -3.6%
NET MARGIN -4.1%
ROIC % -1.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +180.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-0.27
DEBT / EQUITY 0.31x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.92
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // QXOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $10.10
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>