ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SAM // Boston Beer Company Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000949870 ↗
Consumer Staples • Beverages (Production/Distribution)
$201.31 ▲ +2.84 (+1.43%)
MKT CAP: $2.04B • VOL: 193.5K
SAM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+3 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
75 / 100 +3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +24.9% vs NI +83.4% • ROIC-WACC +9.8% • Z 5.87
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.7% • P/E 17.1x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SAM's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SAM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $198.5H $201.3L $198.5C $201.3VOL 193.5K
RES: $204.7SUP: $161.3SMA50: $177.6SMA200: $198.9
$239.2$217.4$195.6$173.7$151.9RES $204.7SUP $161.3$201.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
SAM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Boston Beer Company Inc. (SAM) exhibits 48.5% gross margins and 18.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Staples (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), balanced against a 9.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 48.5% gross profitability converts into 7.4% operating margin and 18.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.4% // GM: 48.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.4% paired with 10.70% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.4% // FCF YLD: 10.70%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.87 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.4x trailing P/E (17.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.4x // EV/EBITDA: 9.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $201.31 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Beverages (Production/Distribution) require continuous execution to defend 5.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.4x
FORWARD P/E 17.1x
EV / EBITDA 9.4x
FCF YIELD 10.70%
GROSS MARGIN 48.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 7.4%
NET MARGIN 5.6%
ROIC % 18.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $10.78
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 71.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SAMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $184.21
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SAM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>