ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SERV // Serve Robotics Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001832483 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$2.51 ▼ -0.09 (-3.46%)
MKT CAP: $225.4M • VOL: 2.68M
SERV // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 33/100 [E] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
32 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -120% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -44.4% • Z 7.63
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.34
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 9 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SERV's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SERV is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SERV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -73.16%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.84H $2.84L $2.51C $2.51VOL 3.61M
RES: $4.40SUP: $-0.74SMA50: $4.05SMA200: $7.09
$11.64$9.16$6.69$4.22$1.74RES $4.40SUP $-0.74$2.512026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
SERV // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 37/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) exhibits -30.0% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained -30.0% gross profitability converts into -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: -30.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +46.2% paired with -18.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +46.2% // FCF YLD: -18.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.63 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.63 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (24.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.51 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.02x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 24.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -18.00%
GROSS MARGIN -30.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -60.0%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -35.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +46.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.17
DEBT / EQUITY 0.02x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 30.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SERVPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.30
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SERV & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>