ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SGU // Star Group L.P.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001002590 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Specialty Stores
$12.94 ▲ +0.02 (+0.16%)
MKT CAP: $423.9M • VOL: 10.5K
SGU // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // C- (RQD 59) -> C (RQD 62)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -44.2% vs NI +108.7% • ROIC-WACC +2.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +13.2% • P/E 5.4x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.19 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.02
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did SGU's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SGU is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SGU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $13.07H $13.07L $12.92C $12.94VOL 14.3K
RES: $13.31SUP: $12.40SMA50: $12.86SMA200: $12.77
$13.63$13.22$12.82$12.41$12.00RES $13.31SUP $12.40$12.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
SGU // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Star Group L.P. (SGU) exhibits 31.5% gross margins and 14.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Specialty Stores), balanced against a 4.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.5% gross profitability converts into 6.4% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.0% // GM: 31.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.0% paired with 13.22% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.0% // FCF YLD: 13.22%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 5.8x trailing P/E (5.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 5.8x // EV/EBITDA: 4.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Specialty Stores require continuous execution to defend 4.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 5.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 5.8x
FORWARD P/E 5.4x
EV / EBITDA 4.5x
FCF YIELD 13.22%
GROSS MARGIN 31.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.4%
NET MARGIN 4.1%
ROIC % —
REV GROWTH YOY +1.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.24
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.16%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SGUPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.84
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SGU & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>