ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ST // Sensata Technologies Holding plc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001477294 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$41.23 ▲ +0.96 (+2.38%)
MKT CAP: $5.86B • VOL: 1.56M
ST // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 53) -> D (RQD 50)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +21.4% vs NI -75.6% • ROIC-WACC -3.4% • Z 2.27
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 47% • VS 200D -4.1% • RSI 43.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +7.6% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.24%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $41.30H $41.30L $40.27C $41.23VOL 1.62M
RES: $41.62SUP: $39.47SMA50: $41.82SMA200: $42.00
$55.30$49.46$43.62$37.79$31.95RES $41.62SUP $39.47$41.232026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
ST // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 38/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) exhibits 29.3% gross margins and 3.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 21.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 29.3% gross profitability converts into 6.4% operating margin and 3.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.7% // GM: 29.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.8% paired with 7.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.8% // FCF YLD: 7.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.27 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.27 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 21.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $41.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 0.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.8% // D/E: 1.02x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.87).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 21.8x
FCF YIELD 7.57%
GROSS MARGIN 29.3%
OPERATING MARGIN 6.4%
NET MARGIN 0.8%
ROIC % 3.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -5.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.02x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.17%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 43.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.87
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // STPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $37.73
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ST & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>