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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ST
ENS (64) GTES (57) JBTM (26) AAON (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$41.23 +2.38% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.33

Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.86B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ST Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (NYSE: ST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $41.23 (+2.38% 1D, market cap $5.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ST ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ST compare to ENS and GTES in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ST carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.3%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, ENS (EnerSys) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $5.77B) and GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 26.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $6.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENS leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ST?
β–Ό

Per ST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477294), Sensata Technologies Holding plc generated $3.70B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), $31.3M in net income, and $454.8M in free cash flow against $6.75B in total assets and $2.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.33 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 12.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$57 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ST SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.3% FCF Margin ($454.8M FCF) & 29.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$41.17+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$42.28-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$40.88+0.9% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$41.23-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ST currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.82) and Max Pain ($43.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.58.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.530 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.27>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE51% OF RANGE
L: $28$41.23H: $54
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (29.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on ST

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

3.7% ROIC with 29.3% gross margin and 7.57% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.27 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ST
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ST)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.24%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $41.30H $41.30L $40.27C $41.23VOL 1.62M
RES: $41.62SUP: $39.47SMA50: $41.82SMA200: $42.00
$55.30$49.46$43.62$37.79$31.95RES $41.62SUP $39.47$41.232026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ST Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ST β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ST today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ST)

Industrials Rank #222 of 486 βš”οΈ ENS vs ST Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ST vs. ENS, GTES, JBTM, AAON)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) ranks #222 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #128 by equity capitalization ($5.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENS leads on earnings valuation at 21.0x trailing P/E, while ENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and 63.4% gross margin. ENS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ST at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ST ACTIVE
Sensata Technologies Holding plc
D 50/100 β€” 29.3% 3.7% +2.38% $5.86B Benchmark Subject
ENS
EnerSys
C 64/100 21.0x 63.4% 13.0% +0.02% $5.77B /ens-vs-st β†’
GTES
Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.
D+ 57/100 26.4x 39.8% 7.8% +0.76% $6.03B /gtes-vs-st β†’
JBTM
JBT Marel Corporation
E 26/100 β€” 35.1% 2.6% +5.14% $5.66B /jbtm-vs-st β†’
AAON
AAON Inc.
D- 36/100 57.7x 26.7% 9.5% +0.88% $5.56B /aaon-vs-st β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001477294 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) reported GAAP revenue of $3.70B (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.93B , and -8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.3M, operating cash flow of $621.5M, and free cash flow of $454.8M (+21.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ST closed FY2025 with $6.75B in total assets against $2.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.70B $31.3M $621.5M $454.8M $6.75B $2.83B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.93B $128.5M $551.5M $374.5M $7.14B $3.18B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.05B -$3.9M $456.7M $274.3M $4.86B $1.14B

3. ST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sensata Technologies Holding plc (NYSE: ST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $41.23 (+2.38% 1D, market cap $5.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ST ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ST compare to ENS and GTES in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ST carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.3%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, ENS (EnerSys) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $5.77B) and GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 26.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $6.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENS leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ST?

Per ST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477294), Sensata Technologies Holding plc generated $3.70B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), $31.3M in net income, and $454.8M in free cash flow against $6.75B in total assets and $2.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ST last traded at $41.23 (+2.38% on volume of 1,560,158 shares), positioning the stock -1.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.82) and -1.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.00). Across its 52-week range of $28.16 to $53.89, ST sits at the 50.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.5% ($38.55 to $43.91).

Direct Sub-Reports: ST RQD Cockpit ST 12M Forecast ST Earnings & Move ST Dividends & DRIP ST Insiders & 13F ST Whale Options ST Profit Sankey ST News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ST β€” Sensata Technologies Holding plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $41.23 (+2.38% 1D, market capitalization $5.86B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.7%, gross margin of 29.3%, operating margin of 6.4%, and free cash flow yield of 7.57%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.27, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.02x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry (per the company profile). The profile establishes the sector and industry classification and a market capitalization of $6.0B. Gross margin of 29.3%, operating margin of 6.4%, and net margin of 0.8% are reported in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) reported $3.70B in annual revenue (up from $3.93B in FY2024, -5.8% YoY) and $31.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.05B revenue, -$3.9M net income) through FY2025, ST scaled operating cash flow to $621.5M and free cash flow to $454.8M, backed by $6.75B in total assets against $2.83B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.57% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.16 – $53.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 21.8x EV/EBITDA against 6.4% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The butterfly supply-chain graph records no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ST sustain or expand its 6.4% operating margin and 3.7% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.70B and free cash flow of $454.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.83B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ST's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

ST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ST Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $41.23?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ST:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.74 (+26.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $454.8M in FY 2025 against a 7.57% FCF yield and a 1.17% dividend yield provides cash generation the market data flag

Long ST at $40.27 targeting $50.74. Free cash flow of $454.8M in FY 2025 against a 7.57% FCF yield and a 1.17% dividend yield provides cash generation the market data flags as a potential support.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $28.16 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” ST's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.23 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $40.27

Net margin of 0.8%, ROIC of 3.7%, and an RQD score of 53 with a 'Roarable Sell' verdict point to weak returns on capital and fundamenta

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ST above $40.27. Net margin of 0.8%, ROIC of 3.7%, and an RQD score of 53 with a 'Roarable Sell' verdict point to weak returns on capital and fundamentals the rating does not currently support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (7.57%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $53.89.

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