ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

STRL // Sterling Infrastructure Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000874238 ↗
Industrials • Military/Government/Technical
$345.91 ▼ -27.75 (-7.43%)
MKT CAP: $11.43B • VOL: 969.2K
STRL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -12.8% vs NI +12.7% • ROIC-WACC +23.2% • Z 6.41
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.2% • P/E 33.1x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.33
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did STRL's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever STRL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

STRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $388.9H $388.9L $345.9C $345.9VOL 1.83M
RES: $557.1SUP: $334.3SMA50: $467.2SMA200: $552.2
$1,052.3$859.0$665.7$472.3$279.0RES $557.1SUP $334.3$345.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
STRL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 69/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sterling Infrastructure Inc. (STRL) exhibits 23.0% gross margins and 32.3% return on invested capital within Industrials (Military/Government/Technical), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 23.0% gross profitability converts into 16.3% operating margin and 32.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 32.3% // GM: 23.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +17.7% paired with 3.17% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +17.7% // FCF YLD: 3.17%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 6.41 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 6.41 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 39.4x trailing P/E (33.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 39.4x // EV/EBITDA: 24.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $345.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Military/Government/Technical require continuous execution to defend 11.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 11.7% // D/E: 0.25x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.03).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 39.4x
FORWARD P/E 33.1x
EV / EBITDA 24.0x
FCF YIELD 3.17%
GROSS MARGIN 23.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 16.3%
NET MARGIN 11.7%
ROIC % 32.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +17.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.49
DEBT / EQUITY 0.25x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 37.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.03
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // STRLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $316.52
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>