ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TDW // Tidewater Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000098222 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Marine Transportation
$87.33 ▲ +2.05 (+2.40%)
MKT CAP: $4.35B • VOL: 382.3K
TDW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // B (RQD 72) -> B+ (RQD 79)
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
79 / 100 +7D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +38.6% vs NI +86.3% • ROIC-WACC +7.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.14 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.26
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did TDW's Insider & Capital Conviction & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TDW is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.29%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $85.28H $87.33L $85.28C $87.33VOL 382.3K
RES: $110.2SUP: $76.82SMA50: $87.02SMA200: $79.58
$104.3$93.00$81.70$70.40$59.09RES $110.2SUP $76.82$87.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
TDW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 15.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Marine Transportation), balanced against a 14.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 20.9% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.5% paired with 8.33% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.5% // FCF YLD: 8.33%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.7x trailing P/E (11.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.7x // EV/EBITDA: 14.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $87.33 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Marine Transportation require continuous execution to defend 24.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 24.7% // D/E: 0.48x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.7x
FORWARD P/E 11.8x
EV / EBITDA 14.2x
FCF YIELD 8.33%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 20.9%
NET MARGIN 24.7%
ROIC % 15.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.70
DEBT / EQUITY 0.48x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TDWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $79.91
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TDW & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>