ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

TW // Tradeweb Markets Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001758730 ↗
Financials • Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service
$122.54 ▲ +3.66 (+3.08%)
MKT CAP: $27.82B • VOL: 2.78M
TW // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 76/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
76 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 76% • VS 200D +8.8% • RSI 60.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +4.1% • P/E 28.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did TW's Forensic Fundamentals & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever TW is Upgraded or Downgraded.

TW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $119.8H $122.5L $118.9C $122.5VOL 1.90M
RES: $126.0SUP: $103.4SMA50: $108.8SMA200: $109.3
$127.9$118.0$108.1$98.24$88.35RES $126.0SUP $103.4$122.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
TW // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 58/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.6% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), balanced against a 30.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 40.7% operating margin and 13.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.9% paired with 4.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.9% // FCF YLD: 4.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 34.2x trailing P/E (28.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 34.2x // EV/EBITDA: 30.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $122.54 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service require continuous execution to defend 39.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 39.6% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 28.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 34.2x
FORWARD P/E 28.7x
EV / EBITDA 30.1x
FCF YIELD 4.05%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 40.7%
NET MARGIN 39.6%
ROIC % 13.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.47
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // TWPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $112.13
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for TW & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>