ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

VCYT // Veracyte Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001384101 ↗
Health Care • Medical Specialities
$49.00 ▼ -1.01 (-2.02%)
MKT CAP: $4.02B • VOL: 1.15M
VCYT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +98.5% vs NI +175.5% • ROIC-WACC -5.6% • Z 26
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 65% • VS 200D +16.4% • RSI 57.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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VCYT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +46.49%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $52.17H $52.17L $49.00C $49.00VOL 1.02M
RES: $51.93SUP: $33.13SMA50: $44.95SMA200: $42.97
$62.92$54.60$46.27$37.95$29.63RES $51.93SUP $33.13$49.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
VCYT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Veracyte Inc. (VCYT) exhibits 70.1% gross margins and 4.6% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical Specialities), balanced against a 58.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 70.1% gross profitability converts into 11.2% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.6% // GM: 70.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.0% paired with 3.02% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.0% // FCF YLD: 3.02%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 26.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 26.00 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 63.2x trailing P/E (53.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 63.2x // EV/EBITDA: 58.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $49.00 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical Specialities require continuous execution to defend 12.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.8% // D/E: 0.03x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 53.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.08).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 63.2x
FORWARD P/E 53.1x
EV / EBITDA 58.7x
FCF YIELD 3.02%
GROSS MARGIN 70.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 11.2%
NET MARGIN 12.8%
ROIC % 4.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.83
DEBT / EQUITY 0.03x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.08
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // VCYTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $44.84
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>