ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

XMTR // Xometry Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001657573 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$95.49 ▲ +1.84 (+1.97%)
MKT CAP: $5.37B • VOL: 1.48M
XMTR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D+ (RQD 52) -> D (RQD 50)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +28% vs NI -22.4% • ROIC-WACC -15.5% • Z 8.44
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 75% • VS 200D +22.4% • RSI 46.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.30
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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XMTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +80.20%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $100.8H $100.8L $93.65C $95.49VOL 855.6K
RES: $122.0SUP: $86.60SMA50: $96.92SMA200: $76.51
$117.8$97.69$77.59$57.48$37.38RES $122.0SUP $86.60$95.492026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
XMTR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Xometry Inc. (XMTR) exhibits 39.1% gross margins and -7.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 39.1% gross profitability converts into -6.6% operating margin and -7.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -7.8% // GM: 39.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +25.9% paired with -0.42% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +25.9% // FCF YLD: -0.42%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.44 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.44 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (20.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $95.49 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend -9.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -9.0% // D/E: 0.65x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 20.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.91).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 20.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.42%
GROSS MARGIN 39.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -6.6%
NET MARGIN -9.0%
ROIC % -7.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +25.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.08
DEBT / EQUITY 0.65x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.91
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // XMTRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $87.38
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>