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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / XMTR
AMTM (55) MBGL (50) RELY (70) WEX (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Xometry Inc. (XMTR) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$95.49 +1.97% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $95.65

Xometry Inc. (XMTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.37B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XMTR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XMTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Xometry Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $95.49 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $5.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XMTR ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XMTR compare to AMTM and MBGL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), XMTR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of -7.8%. By comparison, AMTM (Amentum Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 81.8x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $5.35B) and MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while WEX leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XMTR?
β–Ό

Per XMTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657573), Xometry Inc. generated $686.6M in revenue (+25.9% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and -$24.1M in free cash flow against $703.7M in total assets and $192.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $95.64 (+0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$119 Bull$92 Base$72 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE XMTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XMTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY XMTR SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$95.15-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$88.94+12.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$99.75-4.3% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$95.49-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XMTR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While XMTR currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($96.92) and Max Pain ($100.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $118.59.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XMTRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œXMTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.230 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
8.44>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE77% OF RANGE
L: $36$95.49H: $113
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on XMTR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

-7.8% ROIC with 39.1% gross margin and -0.42% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 8.44 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like XMTR
  • βœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XMTR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of XMTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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XMTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +80.20%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $100.8H $100.8L $93.65C $95.49VOL 855.6K
RES: $122.0SUP: $86.60SMA50: $96.92SMA200: $76.51
$117.8$97.69$77.59$57.48$37.38RES $122.0SUP $86.60$95.492026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XMTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ XMTR Butterfly Map β†’ + Track XMTR β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XMTR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XMTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XMTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XMTR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #541 of 1009 βš”οΈ AMTM vs XMTR Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (XMTR vs. AMTM, MBGL, RELY, WEX)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xometry Inc. (XMTR) ranks #541 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #253 by equity capitalization ($5.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WEX leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while WEX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and 40.4% gross margin. RELY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with XMTR at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XMTR ACTIVE
Xometry Inc.
D 50/100 β€” 39.1% -7.8% +1.97% $5.37B Benchmark Subject
AMTM
Amentum Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 81.8x 10.5% 4.6% +2.74% $5.35B /amtm-vs-xmtr β†’
MBGL
Mobility Global Inc.
D 50/100 32.8x β€” 1.4% +3.65% $5.58B /mbgl-vs-xmtr β†’
RELY
Remitly Global Inc.
B- 70/100 76.8x β€” 12.7% +4.91% $5.11B /rely-vs-xmtr β†’
WEX
WEX Inc.
D+ 56/100 20.6x 40.4% 13.6% +0.14% $6.07B /wex-vs-xmtr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001657573 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xometry Inc. (XMTR) reported GAAP revenue of $686.6M (+25.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $545.5M , and +48.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.7M, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of -$24.1M (+28.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XMTR closed FY2025 with $703.7M in total assets against $192.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $686.6M -$61.7M $6.1M -$24.1M $703.7M $192.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $545.5M -$50.4M -$15.4M -$33.5M $680.1M $164.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $463.4M -$67.5M -$29.9M -$50.7M $3.18B $743.8M

3. XMTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XMTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Xometry Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $95.49 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $5.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XMTR ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XMTR compare to AMTM and MBGL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), XMTR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of -7.8%. By comparison, AMTM (Amentum Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 81.8x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $5.35B) and MBGL (Mobility Global Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $5.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while WEX leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XMTR?

Per XMTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001657573), Xometry Inc. generated $686.6M in revenue (+25.9% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and -$24.1M in free cash flow against $703.7M in total assets and $192.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XMTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XMTR last traded at $95.49 (+1.97% on volume of 1,479,740 shares), positioning the stock -1.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($96.92) and +24.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($76.51). Across its 52-week range of $35.86 to $112.94, XMTR sits at the 77.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($83.55 to $107.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: XMTR RQD Cockpit XMTR 12M Forecast XMTR Earnings & Move XMTR Dividends & DRIP XMTR Insiders & 13F XMTR Whale Options XMTR Profit Sankey XMTR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 50/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XMTR β€” Xometry Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Xometry Inc. (XMTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $95.49 (+1.97% 1D, market capitalization $5.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.8%, gross margin of 39.1%, operating margin of -6.6%, and free cash flow yield of -0.42%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.91x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.44, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.65x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Xometry Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. The profile source does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Xometry Inc. (XMTR) reported $686.6M in annual revenue (up from $545.5M in FY2024, +25.9% YoY) and -$61.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($463.4M revenue, -$67.5M net income) through FY2025, XMTR scaled operating cash flow to $6.1M and free cash flow to -$24.1M, backed by $703.7M in total assets against $192.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.42% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.86 – $112.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -6.6% operating margins and a 0.91x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The butterfly supply-chain graph reports supply_chain as NONE with an empty links array, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are documented in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can XMTR sustain or expand its -6.6% operating margin and -7.8% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $686.6M and free cash flow of -$24.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $192.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is XMTR's 20.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.91x)?

XMTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xometry Inc. (XMTR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to XMTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XMTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $95.49?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XMTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XMTR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $111.44 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $463.4M in FY 2023 to $686.6M in FY 2025 while operating losses narrowed from -$73.6M to -$45.5M, and the forensic pi

Don't sleep on XMTR's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Revenue grew from $463.4M in FY 2023 to $686.6M in FY 2025 while operating losses narrowed from -$73.6M to -$45.5M, and the forensic pillar shows Altman Z of 8.44.. Beta of 0.91 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 20.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Business Services. If gross margin (39.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.79 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $93.65

ROIC of -7.8%, FCF yield of -0.42%, and trailing EPS of -1.08 indicate the business is not yet generating returns above cost of capital

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on XMTR: ROIC of -7.8%, FCF yield of -0.42%, and trailing EPS of -1.08 indicate the business is not yet generating returns above cost of capital or positive free cash flow.. At 20.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Business Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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