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Stock Ratings / Industrials / ACHR
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Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.20 -4.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACHR ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), ACHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIR (AAR Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B) and BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?
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Per ACHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824502), Archer Aviation Inc. generated $300.0K in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$618.2M in net income, and -$511.7M in free cash flow against $2.47B in total assets and $79.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.16 (-0.93%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (4)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$12 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE ACHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACHR SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 10% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$4.07-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$3.87+12.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$4.34-3.2% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$4.20-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ACHR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.95) and Max Pain ($4.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACHR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACHR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.20H: $11
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ACHR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 33.3% gross margin and -15.01% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 6.45 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (22)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ACHR
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACHR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ACHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.21%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $4.38H $4.38L $4.20C $4.20VOL 19.00M
RES: $7.50SUP: $3.61SMA50: $4.95SMA200: $5.74
$8.69$7.33$5.97$4.62$3.26RES $7.50SUP $3.61$4.202026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACHR Butterfly Map → + Track ACHR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -100.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACHR)

Industrials Rank #386 of 486 ⚔️ AIR vs ACHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACHR vs. AIR, BETA, JOBY, AVAV)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) ranks #386 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #179 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ACHR at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACHR ACTIVE
Archer Aviation Inc.
E 32/100 — 33.3% -35.0% -4.11% $3.27B Benchmark Subject
AIR
AAR Corp.
D 46/100 22.4x 18.8% 12.0% -4.08% $4.03B /air-vs-achr →
BETA
Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 72.2% -35.0% -2.53% $4.69B /beta-vs-achr →
JOBY
Joby Aviation Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -3.54% $4.87B /joby-vs-achr →
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc.
E 27/100 — 25.3% -7.6% -6.50% $6.41B /avav-vs-achr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001824502 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) reported GAAP revenue of $300.0K (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.43B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$618.2M, operating cash flow of -$432.9M, and free cash flow of -$511.7M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACHR closed FY2025 with $2.47B in total assets against $79.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $300.0K -$618.2M -$432.9M -$511.7M $2.47B $79.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.43B -$536.8M -$368.6M -$450.6M $1.00B $64.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.25B -$457.9M -$271.6M -$271.6M $1.87B $438.7M

3. ACHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACHR ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACHR compare to AIR and BETA in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), ACHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AIR (AAR Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.03B) and BETA (Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.69B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACHR?

Per ACHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001824502), Archer Aviation Inc. generated $300.0K in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$618.2M in net income, and -$511.7M in free cash flow against $2.47B in total assets and $79.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACHR last traded at $4.20 (-4.11% on volume of 18,997,813 shares), positioning the stock -15.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.95) and -26.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.74). Across its 52-week range of $3.68 to $11.09, ACHR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($3.73 to $4.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: ACHR RQD Cockpit ACHR 12M Forecast ACHR Earnings & Move ACHR Dividends & DRIP ACHR Insiders & 13F ACHR Whale Options ACHR Profit Sankey ACHR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ACHR — Archer Aviation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.20 (-4.11% 1D, market capitalization $3.27B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 33.3%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -15.01%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.45, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.04x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Archer Aviation Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Aerospace industry. The profile identifies the company by sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization of $3.4B. Product, customer, and revenue-model detail is — Reported FY 2025 revenue of $0.3M (per SEC financials) indicates minimal current top-line scale relative to operating losses.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) reported $300.0K in annual revenue (up from $1.43B in FY2024, -100.0% YoY) and -$618.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.25B revenue, -$457.9M net income) through FY2025, ACHR scaled operating cash flow to -$432.9M and free cash flow to -$511.7M, backed by $2.47B in total assets against $79.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -15.01% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.68 – $11.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are therefore — The graph's absence means 2nd-order ripple analysis cannot be sourced; a prospective investor should treat any sector-linked bottleneck claim as unverified by this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can ACHR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $300.0K and free cash flow of -$511.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $79.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ACHR's 18.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?

ACHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACHR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACHR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.91 (+16.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet carries a 6.45 Altman Z-Score and 0.04 Debt/Equity against $1.02B of reported cash at FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR). Balance sheet carries a 6.45 Altman Z-Score and 0.04 Debt/Equity against $1.02B of reported cash at FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 32/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.54.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 32/100 quality, though with 0.9 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.20 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.91.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.53 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $4.20

Operating income fell to -$729.3M in FY 2025 on just $0.3M of revenue, with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at -15.01%.

I respect the product at Archer Aviation Inc., but the stock at $4.20 is a different story. Operating income fell to -$729.3M in FY 2025 on just $0.3M of revenue, with ROIC at -35% and FCF yield at -15.01%.. FCF yield is -15.01% and RQD sits at 32/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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