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Stock Ratings / Materials / AGI
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Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$27.76 +1.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.76

Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: AGI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $27.76 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $11.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AGI ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGI compare to EQX and CDE in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AGI carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EQX (Equinox Gold Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.32B) and CDE (Coeur Mining Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $13.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDE leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while CDE leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGI?
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For Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #70 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.76 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$58 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE AGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGI SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$30.61+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$31.72-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$31.67-12.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$27.76-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGI currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.29) and Max Pain ($29.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.18.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
34.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $27$27.76H: $55
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on AGI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AGI
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.93%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $28.83H $28.83L $27.45C $27.76VOL 5.88M
RES: $35.01SUP: $26.91SMA50: $33.29SMA200: $37.97
$47.50$41.92$36.34$30.77$25.19RES $35.01SUP $26.91$27.762026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGI Butterfly Map → + Track AGI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGI)

Materials Rank #70 of 270 ⚔️ EQX vs AGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AGI vs. EQX, CDE, HMY, IAG)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #39 by equity capitalization ($11.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDE leads on earnings valuation at 24.6x trailing P/E, while CDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CDE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with AGI at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGI ACTIVE
Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.13% $11.49B Benchmark Subject
EQX
Equinox Gold Corp.
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +3.92% $11.32B /eqx-vs-agi →
CDE
Coeur Mining Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.6x — 15.1% +1.68% $13.47B /cde-vs-agi →
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.19% $9.17B /hmy-vs-agi →
IAG
Iamgold Corporation
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% +3.56% $8.82B /iag-vs-agi →

2. AGI Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $11.49B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. AGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: AGI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $27.76 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $11.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AGI ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGI compare to EQX and CDE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AGI carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EQX (Equinox Gold Corp.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.32B) and CDE (Coeur Mining Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $13.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDE leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while CDE leads on capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGI?

For Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #70 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGI last traded at $27.76 (+1.13% on volume of 5,221,602 shares), positioning the stock -16.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.29) and -26.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.97). Across its 52-week range of $26.92 to $55.41, AGI sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($25.48 to $30.04).

Direct Sub-Reports: AGI RQD Cockpit AGI 12M Forecast AGI Earnings & Move AGI Dividends & DRIP AGI Insiders & 13F AGI Whale Options AGI Profit Sankey AGI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AGI — Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $27.76 (+1.13% 1D, market capitalization $11.49B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.15x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AGI is classified in the Materials sector and the Precious Metals industry and trades on the NYSE. The profile describes the company as a NYSE-listed Materials issuer with a market capitalization of $12.1B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $26.92 – $55.41 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.15x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Precious Metals (Materials), AGI carries a macro regime beta of 1.15 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can AGI sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $55.41 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGI's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.15x)?

AGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A) (AGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $27.76?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $32.39 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39, giving the company a solid financial

Here is why I am bullish on AGI here at $27.45: Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20 with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39, giving the company a solid financial cushion.. Compare AGI's 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against the rest of Precious Metals. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $26.08 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Precious Metals. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.23 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $27.45

Cash generation is thin, with a 2.21% FCF yield against a 32.8 trailing P/E, and institutional flow scores only 5 of 20.

I respect the product at Alamos Gold Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $27.45 is a different story. Cash generation is thin, with a 2.21% FCF yield against a 32.8 trailing P/E, and institutional flow scores only 5 of 20.. FCF yield is 2.21% and RQD sits at 53/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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