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Stock Ratings / Technology / AGMH
PAVS (38) HTCR (30) MASK (49) CHR (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.50 -0.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.50

AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AGMH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGMH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.50 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AGMH ranks #557 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGMH compare to PAVS and HTCR in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGMH carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.8x, gross margin of 10.3%, and ROIC of -9.5%. By comparison, PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.0M) and HTCR (Heartcore Enterprises Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.7%, cap $2.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGMH?
▼

Per AGMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705402), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $30.6M in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $561.6K in net income, and -$4.1M in free cash flow against $44.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.50 (-0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (6)SEC (9)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12% Base Target
$5 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE AGMH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGMH SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$0.53-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$0.50+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$0.50+0% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$0.50-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGMH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGMH currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.70) and Max Pain ($0.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGMH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGMH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
1.91>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.50H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on AGMH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-9.5% ROIC with 10.3% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 1.91 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AGMH
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGMH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AGMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AGMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $0.52H $0.52L $0.50C $0.50VOL 72.4K
RES: $1.41SUP: $0.27SMA50: $0.70SMA200: $1.04
$2.76$2.13$1.49$0.85$0.21RES $1.41SUP $0.27$0.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGMH Butterfly Map → + Track AGMH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-14.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGMH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGMH)

Technology Rank #557 of 715 ⚔️ PAVS vs AGMH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AGMH vs. PAVS, HTCR, MASK, CHR)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) ranks #557 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #694 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with AGMH at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGMH ACTIVE
AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 4.8x 10.3% -9.5% -0.79% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
PAVS
Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — 16.5% — -8.41% $3.0M /pavs-vs-agmh →
HTCR
Heartcore Enterprises Inc.
E 30/100 — — -33.7% -2.03% $2.2M /htcr-vs-agmh →
MASK
3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)
D 49/100 4.7x 49.8% 17.9% -31.69% $3.2M /mask-vs-agmh →
CHR
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share
D 45/100 — 71.0% 16.3% +2.18% $3.2M /chr-vs-agmh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705402 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) reported GAAP revenue of $30.6M (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $32.0M , and -55.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $561.6K, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.1M (-157.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGMH closed FY2025 with $44.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.6M $561.6K -$4.1M -$4.1M $44.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $32.0M $3.1M $7.1M $7.1M $61.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $68.8M -$7.4M -$1.7M -$1.7M — —

3. AGMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGMH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.50 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AGMH ranks #557 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGMH compare to PAVS and HTCR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGMH carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.8x, gross margin of 10.3%, and ROIC of -9.5%. By comparison, PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.0M) and HTCR (Heartcore Enterprises Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.7%, cap $2.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGMH?

Per AGMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705402), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $30.6M in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $561.6K in net income, and -$4.1M in free cash flow against $44.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGMH last traded at $0.50 (-0.79% on volume of 60,674 shares), positioning the stock -28.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.70) and -51.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.04). Across its 52-week range of $0.41 to $4.30, AGMH sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: AGMH RQD Cockpit AGMH 12M Forecast AGMH Earnings & Move AGMH Dividends & DRIP AGMH Insiders & 13F AGMH Whale Options AGMH Profit Sankey AGMH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AGMH — AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.50 (-0.79% 1D, market capitalization $2.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -9.5%, gross margin of 10.3%, operating margin of -15.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.91, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and EDP Services industry. Per the market data, reported gross margin is 10.3%, operating margin is -15.3%, and net margin is 1.8%. The supply chain is listed as "NONE."

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) reported $30.6M in annual revenue (up from $32.0M in FY2024, -4.6% YoY) and $561.6K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($68.8M revenue, -$7.4M net income) through FY2025, AGMH scaled operating cash flow to -$4.1M and free cash flow to -$4.1M, backed by $44.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.41 – $4.30 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 4.8x trailing P/E against -15.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so sector ripples and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can AGMH sustain or expand its -15.3% operating margin and -9.5% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $30.6M and free cash flow of -$4.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGMH's 4.5x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AGMH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AGM Group Holdings Inc. (Class A) (AGMH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGMH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGMH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGMH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGMH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.67 (+31.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported 4.8x trailing P/E and 4.5x forward P/E sit well below typical levels, with a 2025 net income of $0.6M despite an operating l

Long AGMH at $0.51 targeting $0.67. A reported 4.8x trailing P/E and 4.5x forward P/E sit well below typical levels, with a 2025 net income of $0.6M despite an operating loss.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.41 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 4.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (10.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.42 (-17.6%)
Spot @ $0.51

The RQD rating's cash engine scores 2/20 with ROIC of -9.5% and a 0% FCF yield, alongside FY 2025 FCF of -$4.1M and a Piotroski F of 2/

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AGMH above $0.51. The RQD rating's cash engine scores 2/20 with ROIC of -9.5% and a 0% FCF yield, alongside FY 2025 FCF of -$4.1M and a Piotroski F of 2/9.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (2/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $4.30.

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