Should I buy, hold, or sell AGX stock right now?

Argan Inc. (AGX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 20.5% gross margin (25% return on capital), mixed timing at 36x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AGX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AGX's 12-month base price target is $346.15 (range $270 to $846.04), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AGX

LGN (48) BBUC (48) AMRC (43) LMB (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Argan Inc. (AGX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$334.12 -2.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $331.74

Argan Inc. (AGX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AGX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Argan Inc. (NYSE: AGX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $334.12 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $4.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AGX ranks #215 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGX compare to LGN and BBUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), AGX carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of 24.9%. By comparison, LGN (Legence Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 21.5%, cap $4.20B) and BBUC (Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while AGX leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGX?

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Per AGX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000100591), Argan Inc. generated $944.6M in revenue (+8.1% YoY), $137.8M in net income, and $410.8M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (20.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $331.75 (-0.71%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 43.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AGX SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 43.5% FCF Margin ($410.8M FCF) & 20.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$365.81-5.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$345.85+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$352.69-5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$334.12+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, AGX faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($381.55) or 200D SMA ($520.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($346.15) toward Bear Floor ($270.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AGX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

41.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

6.22>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $276$334.12H: $806

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (20.5% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on AGX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (95)

24.9% ROIC with 20.5% gross margin and 8.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 6.22 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AGX

✓Strong cash generator (20.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AGX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AGX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.07%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $356.9H $356.9L $334.1C $334.1VOL 168.4K

RES: $350.5SUP: $276.7SMA50: $381.6SMA200: $520.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGX Butterfly Map → + Track AGX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #215 of 1009 ⚔️ LGN vs AGX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AGX vs. LGN, BBUC, AMRC, LMB)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Argan Inc. (AGX) ranks #215 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #273 by equity capitalization ($4.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while AGX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with AGX at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AGX ACTIVE Argan Inc.	C+	66/100	36.3x	20.5%	24.9%	-2.90%	$4.83B	Benchmark Subject
LGN Legence Corp. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	21.0%	21.5%	-6.23%	$4.20B	/lgn-vs-agx →
BBUC Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares	D	48/100	—	—	—	+5.11%	$5.95B	/bbuc-vs-agx →
AMRC Ameresco Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	—	—	+3.20%	$1.08B	/amrc-vs-agx →
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	B-	71/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	-3.04%	$577.2M	/lmb-vs-agx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000100591 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Argan Inc. (AGX) reported GAAP revenue of $944.6M (+8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $874.2M , and +64.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $137.8M, operating cash flow of $414.7M, and free cash flow of $410.8M (+155.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGX closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.22, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$944.6M	$137.8M	$414.7M	$410.8M	$1.19B	$325.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$874.2M	$85.5M	$167.6M	$161.0M	$836.2M	$218.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$573.3M	$32.4M	$116.9M	$91.1M	$2.75B	$644.3M

3. AGX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AGX compare to LGN and BBUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGX?

Where is AGX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGX last traded at $334.12 (-2.90% on volume of 216,033 shares), positioning the stock -12.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($381.55) and -35.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($520.74). Across its 52-week range of $276.28 to $805.75, AGX sits at the 10.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($301.71 to $366.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: AGX RQD Cockpit AGX 12M Forecast AGX Earnings & Move AGX Dividends & DRIP AGX Insiders & 13F AGX Whale Options AGX Profit Sankey AGX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AGX — Argan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Argan Inc. (AGX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $334.12 (-2.90% 1D, market capitalization $4.83B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 24.9%, gross margin of 20.5%, operating margin of 14.3%, and free cash flow yield of 8.21%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.22, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Argan Inc. (AGX) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Engineering & Construction industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.83B. The business operates with a gross margin of 20.5%, an operating margin of 14.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 24.9% (free cash flow yield of 8.21%). Within the Engineering & Construction peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Argan Inc. (AGX) reported $944.6M in annual revenue (up from $874.2M in FY2024, +8.1% YoY) and $137.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($573.3M revenue, $32.4M net income) through FY2025, AGX scaled operating cash flow to $414.7M and free cash flow to $410.8M, backed by $1.19B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (20.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $276.28 – $805.75 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 36.3x trailing P/E and 36.0x EV/EBITDA against 14.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary, Engineering & Construction) is the only structural context provided. An investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the analysis rather than evidence of an absence of ripple effects.

Key Question #1: Can AGX sustain or expand its 14.3% operating margin and 24.9% ROIC against Engineering & Construction peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $944.6M and free cash flow of $410.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $325.8M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGX's 33.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AGX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Argan Inc. (AGX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 21h ago

Argan, Inc. (AGX) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Argan: The Valuation Reset Creates A Compelling Entry Point

Seeking Alpha report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Argan Stock Surges 25% YTD: Is the Rally Still Worth Chasing?

Yahoo Finance report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning Argan Stock In The Last 5 Years

Benzinga report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 1d ago

Argan Inc (AGX) Shares Fall 5.9% -- What GF Score of 86 Tells In

GuruFocus report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.debelegger.nl • 1d ago

Argan (AGX) Stock Price, Chart & Analysis

www.debelegger.nl report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Argan (AGX) Stock May Trade At A Premium Following Top Pick Call

Simply Wall St report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Argan (NYSE:AGX) Stock Gets Downgrade from Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering Argan Inc. (AGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $334.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $437.02 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 24.9% ROIC and 8.21% FCF yield, with an Altman Z of 6.22 and Piotroski F of 8/9, indicate a cash-generative busin

Per the RQD rating, a 24.9% ROIC and 8.21% FCF yield, with an Altman Z of 6.22 and Piotroski F of 8/9, indicate a cash-generative business with a strong balance sheet.. When you look under the hood at AGX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 19/20 with 20.5% gross margins and 24.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $805.75. My 12M target is $437.02.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 36.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Engineering & Construction. If gross margin (20.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $282.17 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $344.11

Per the market data, a 36.3 TTM P/E and 36 EV/EBITDA, combined with a 6/20 whale flow score, leave valuation exposed with limited obser

Fading this rally in AGX at $344.11. Per the market data, a 36.3 TTM P/E and 36 EV/EBITDA, combined with a 6/20 whale flow score, leave valuation exposed with limited observable institutional support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $344.11 (52-wk range $276.28–$805.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.