ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Industrials / ARCB
WERN (28) LSTR (59) SNDR (55) TFII (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$130.96 +4.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $131.75

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARCB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $130.96 (+4.40% 1D, market cap $2.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ARCB ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARCB compare to WERN and LSTR in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ARCB carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WERN (Werner Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $1.66B) and LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCB?
▼

Per ARCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894405), ArcBest Corporation generated $4.01B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $60.1M in net income, and $114.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $136.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $131.75 (+0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$186 Bull$129 Base$101 Bear
📬 FREE ARCB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARCB SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($114.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$130.36-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$129.99+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$130.34+0.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$130.96-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARCB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ARCB faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.17) or 200D SMA ($124.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($129.19) toward Bear Floor ($100.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARCB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARCB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE61% OF RANGE
L: $59$130.96H: $177
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on ARCB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

5.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.04% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ARCB
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARCB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARCB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ARCB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.17%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $126.4H $131.0L $125.4C $131.0VOL 186.3K
RES: $130.7SUP: $116.1SMA50: $131.2SMA200: $124.9
$183.2$156.3$129.4$102.6$75.70RES $130.7SUP $116.1$131.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARCB Butterfly Map → + Track ARCB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCB)

Industrials Rank #175 of 486 ⚔️ WERN vs ARCB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARCB vs. WERN, LSTR, SNDR, TFII)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) ranks #175 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #187 by equity capitalization ($2.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TFII leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ARCB at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARCB ACTIVE
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 55/100 47.0x — 5.4% +4.40% $2.80B Benchmark Subject
WERN
Werner Enterprises Inc.
E 28/100 — — 0.4% +3.32% $1.66B /wern-vs-arcb →
LSTR
Landstar System Inc.
C- 59/100 41.4x — 16.4% +3.39% $4.81B /lstr-vs-arcb →
SNDR
Schneider National Inc.
D+ 55/100 49.8x — 4.2% +1.13% $5.12B /sndr-vs-arcb →
TFII
TFI International Inc.
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.77% $7.67B /tfii-vs-arcb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894405 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) reported GAAP revenue of $4.01B (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.18B , and -9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $60.1M, operating cash flow of $229.0M, and free cash flow of $114.2M (+82.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCB closed FY2025 with $2.45B in total assets against $136.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.01B $60.1M $229.0M $114.2M $2.45B $136.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.18B $174.0M $285.8M $62.7M $2.43B $125.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.43B $195.4M $322.2M $322.2M — —

3. ARCB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $130.96 (+4.40% 1D, market cap $2.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ARCB ranks #175 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARCB compare to WERN and LSTR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ARCB carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, WERN (Werner Enterprises Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $1.66B) and LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCB?

Per ARCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894405), ArcBest Corporation generated $4.01B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $60.1M in net income, and $114.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $136.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARCB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARCB last traded at $130.96 (+4.40% on volume of 310,709 shares), positioning the stock -0.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($131.17) and +4.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.92). Across its 52-week range of $59.43 to $176.69, ARCB sits at the 61.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($122.58 to $139.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: ARCB RQD Cockpit ARCB 12M Forecast ARCB Earnings & Move ARCB Dividends & DRIP ARCB Insiders & 13F ARCB Whale Options ARCB Profit Sankey ARCB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARCB — ArcBest Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $130.96 (+4.40% 1D, market capitalization $2.80B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 2.3%, and free cash flow yield of 4.04%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.10x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ArcBest Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry, profile. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $2.8B. Specific customer segments and revenue-generation detail are — The market data reports a gross margin of 0% and an operating margin of 2.3%, and the source does not describe the drivers of those figures.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) reported $4.01B in annual revenue (up from $4.18B in FY2024, -4.0% YoY) and $60.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.43B revenue, $195.4M net income) through FY2025, ARCB scaled operating cash flow to $229.0M and free cash flow to $114.2M, backed by $2.45B in total assets against $136.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.04% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $59.43 – $176.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 47.0x trailing P/E and 15.2x EV/EBITDA against 2.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation partners: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The sector and industry classification (Industrials; Trucking Freight/Courier Services) is the only sector context provided. The beta of 1.0 per the market data indicates market-level sensitivity, but the source does not quantify sector-specific ripple effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARCB sustain or expand its 2.3% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC against Trucking Freight/Courier Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.01B and free cash flow of $114.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $136.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARCB's 43.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ARCB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARCB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARCB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $130.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARCB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARCB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $164.33 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 5/9, Debt/Equity 0.1) indicate low leverage and moderate financial strength.

Don't sleep on ARCB's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 5/9, Debt/Equity 0.1) indicate low leverage and moderate financial strength.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (55/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ARCB's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $102.86 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $125.44

A trailing P/E of 47 against revenue and net income declines from FY 2023 to FY 2025 leaves little earnings support for the current pri

Fading this rally in ARCB at $125.44. A trailing P/E of 47 against revenue and net income declines from FY 2023 to FY 2025 leaves little earnings support for the current price.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $125.44 (52-wk range $59.43–$176.69), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE