ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Energy / AREC
METCB (44) NC (47) METC (43) NRP (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.09 -11.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $130.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AREC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.09 (-11.07% 1D, market cap $130.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AREC compare to METCB and NC in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $263.0M) and NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $264.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?
▼

Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $31.7M in revenue (+92837.8% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.07 (-2.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 11.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.2% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE AREC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AREC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AREC SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$1.33-17.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.10+6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$1.17-6.8% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.09-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AREC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AREC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.78) and Max Pain ($1.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AREC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AREC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.09H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on AREC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AREC
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AREC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AREC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AREC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.98%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.27H $1.27L $1.09C $1.09VOL 2.15M
RES: $3.09SUP: $1.01SMA50: $1.78SMA200: $2.33
$3.08$2.53$1.99$1.44$0.89RES $3.09SUP $1.01$1.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AREC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AREC Butterfly Map → + Track AREC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92837.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AREC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AREC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AREC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AREC)

Energy Rank #178 of 211 ⚔️ METCB vs AREC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AREC vs. METCB, NC, METC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #183 by equity capitalization ($130.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AREC at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AREC ACTIVE
American Resources Corporation (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — -14.0% -11.07% $130.5M Benchmark Subject
METCB
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +2.30% $263.0M /metcb-vs-arec →
NC
NACCO Industries Inc.
D 47/100 15.3x 13.9% 4.6% -1.65% $264.4M /nc-vs-arec →
METC
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -6.52% $449.0M /metc-vs-arec →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -1.23% $1.53B /nrp-vs-arec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590715 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) reported GAAP revenue of $31.7M (+92837.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.1K , and +167.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $55.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AREC closed FY2025 with $168.9M in total assets against $965.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $31.7M $55.4M — — $168.9M $965.3K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $34.1K -$39.2M -$21.2M -$22.3M $281.7M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.8M -$38.5M -$19.5M -$19.5M — —

3. AREC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.09 (-11.07% 1D, market cap $130.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AREC compare to METCB and NC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $263.0M) and NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $264.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?

Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $31.7M in revenue (+92837.8% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AREC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AREC last traded at $1.09 (-11.07% on volume of 2,492,466 shares), positioning the stock -38.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.78) and -53.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.33). Across its 52-week range of $1.06 to $4.94, AREC sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: AREC RQD Cockpit AREC 12M Forecast AREC Earnings & Move AREC Dividends & DRIP AREC Insiders & 13F AREC Whale Options AREC Profit Sankey AREC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AREC — American Resources Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.09 (-11.07% 1D, market capitalization $130.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -14.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.01x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

American Resources Corporation (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Energy sector, Coal Mining industry. The profile identifies it as a publicly traded issuer with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) reported $31.7M in annual revenue (up from $34.1K in FY2024, +92837.8% YoY) and $55.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.8M revenue, -$38.5M net income) through FY2025, AREC scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $168.9M in total assets against $965.3K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.06 – $4.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Coal Mining (Energy), AREC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can AREC sustain or expand its — operating margin and -14.0% ROIC against Coal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $31.7M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $965.3K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AREC's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AREC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AREC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AREC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.09?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AREC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AREC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the news wire, the company has advanced a tungsten refining test agreement and a planned U.S. commercial test, a possible new reven

The street is overcomplicating American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC). Per the news wire, the company has advanced a tungsten refining test agreement and a planned U.S. commercial test, a possible new revenue avenue.. With an RQD score of 38/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.32.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.22 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.98 (-19.7%)
Spot @ $1.22

Per the RQD forensic pillar, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and ROIC of -14% indicate significant financial distress and no current return on

Per the RQD forensic pillar, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and ROIC of -14% indicate significant financial distress and no current return on capital.. Look at the math on AREC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -14.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Coal Mining demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.07 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE