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Stock Ratings / Technology / ASYS
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Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.32 -3.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.22

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $223.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASYS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $12.32 (-3.37% 1D, market cap $223.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $210.9M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $287.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?
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Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.22 (-0.80%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE ASYS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASYS SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($6.9M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$15.40-11.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$13.62-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$13.45-8.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$12.32-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASYS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASYS currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.81) and Max Pain ($12.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASYS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASYS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.83>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $7$12.32H: $26
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (34.0% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ASYS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-35.0% ROIC with 34.0% gross margin and 2.89% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.83 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (28)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ASYS
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASYS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $13.68H $13.68L $12.32C $12.32VOL 310.7K
RES: $18.51SUP: $11.79SMA50: $14.81SMA200: $16.08
$26.78$22.36$17.94$13.52$9.10RES $18.51SUP $11.79$12.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASYS Butterfly Map → + Track ASYS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASYS)

Technology Rank #483 of 715 ⚔️ VELO vs ASYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASYS vs. VELO, MPTI, SHMD, ESP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) ranks #483 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #466 by equity capitalization ($223.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ASYS at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASYS ACTIVE
Amtech Systems Inc.
D- 39/100 — 34.0% -35.0% -3.37% $223.2M Benchmark Subject
VELO
Velo3D Inc.
E 26/100 — -16.1% -35.0% -12.65% $210.9M /velo-vs-asys →
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc.
D+ 53/100 35.5x — 19.2% -4.59% $287.7M /mpti-vs-asys →
SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -4.41% $170.8M /shmd-vs-asys →
ESP
Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.
C 64/100 20.7x 28.9% 18.1% -2.27% $161.7M /esp-vs-asys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000720500 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported GAAP revenue of $79.4M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $101.2M , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.3M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $6.9M (+39.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASYS closed FY2025 with $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.83, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $79.4M -$30.3M $7.9M $6.9M $94.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $101.2M -$8.5M $9.8M $5.0M $117.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $113.3M -$12.6M -$7.7M -$7.7M — —

3. ASYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amtech Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $12.32 (-3.37% 1D, market cap $223.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ASYS ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASYS compare to VELO and MPTI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASYS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VELO (Velo3D Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $210.9M) and MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $287.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASYS?

Per ASYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000720500), Amtech Systems Inc. generated $79.4M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$30.3M in net income, and $6.9M in free cash flow against $94.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASYS last traded at $12.32 (-3.37% on volume of 302,790 shares), positioning the stock -16.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.81) and -23.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.08). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $25.71, ASYS sits at the 29.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($10.92 to $13.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASYS RQD Cockpit ASYS 12M Forecast ASYS Earnings & Move ASYS Dividends & DRIP ASYS Insiders & 13F ASYS Whale Options ASYS Profit Sankey ASYS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ASYS — Amtech Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.32 (-3.37% 1D, market capitalization $223.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 34.0%, operating margin of -35.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.89%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.83, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) reported $79.4M in annual revenue (up from $101.2M in FY2024, -21.6% YoY) and -$30.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($113.3M revenue, -$12.6M net income) through FY2025, ASYS scaled operating cash flow to $7.9M and free cash flow to $6.9M, backed by $94.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.89% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.75 – $25.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -35.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply chain as "NONE" with an empty set of butterfly links, so no upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation paths are identified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ASYS sustain or expand its -35.9% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $79.4M and free cash flow of $6.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASYS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ASYS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amtech Systems Inc. (ASYS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASYS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASYS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.32?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASYS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASYS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.07 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A Seeking Alpha report flags AI demand as a compelling growth opportunity, with the balance sheet still showing a Piotroski F-Score of

Long ASYS at $12.75 targeting $16.07. A Seeking Alpha report flags AI demand as a compelling growth opportunity, with the balance sheet still showing a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 and cash rising to $22.1M.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $6.75 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $12.75 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.69 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $12.75

ROIC of -35%, an operating margin of -35.9%, and a 2025 operating loss of -$28.5M leave the cash engine weak and the RQD grade at D-.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ASYS above $12.75. ROIC of -35%, an operating margin of -35.9%, and a 2025 operating loss of -$28.5M leave the cash engine weak and the RQD grade at D-.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (2.89%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.71.

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