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BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$11.41 +1.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.42

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.41 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MRX (Marex Group Limited) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.77B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?
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Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.42 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$14 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE BGC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($372.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$11.64-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$11.63-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$11.37+0.4% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$11.41+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, BGC faces multiple-compression risk if 36.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.81) or 200D SMA ($10.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.77) toward Bear Floor ($9.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
41.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE
L: $8$11.41H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on BGC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

15.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BGC
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BGC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
BGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.97%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $11.42H $11.42L $11.23C $11.41VOL 4.14M
RES: $13.02SUP: $11.10SMA50: $11.81SMA200: $10.88
$13.12$12.16$11.19$10.23$9.26RES $13.02SUP $11.10$11.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGC Butterfly Map → + Track BGC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGC)

Financials Rank #235 of 1097 ⚔️ MRX vs BGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGC vs. MRX, MKTX, PIPR, GLXY)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) ranks #235 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #263 by equity capitalization ($5.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIPR leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while MKTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MKTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with BGC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGC ACTIVE
BGC Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 36.3x — 15.1% +1.60% $5.24B Benchmark Subject
MRX
Marex Group Limited
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.76% $4.77B /mrx-vs-bgc →
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
A- 83/100 23.5x — 28.4% +0.11% $5.82B /mktx-vs-bgc →
PIPR
Piper Sandler Companies
C 63/100 17.3x — 18.3% +5.66% $4.51B /pipr-vs-bgc →
GLXY
Galaxy Digital Inc.
E 25/100 — — -5.5% -8.81% $6.25B /glxy-vs-bgc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094831 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+34.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +51.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $146.5M, operating cash flow of $394.4M, and free cash flow of $372.9M (+30.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGC closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B $146.5M $394.4M $372.9M $4.41B $1.78B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.81B $123.2M $315.4M $285.7M $3.59B $1.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.61B $38.8M $405.2M $405.2M — —

3. BGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BGC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $11.41 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $5.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGC ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGC compare to MRX and MKTX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), BGC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, MRX (Marex Group Limited) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.77B) and MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIPR leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while MKTX leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGC?

Per BGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094831), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) generated $2.44B in revenue (+34.7% YoY), $146.5M in net income, and $372.9M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGC last traded at $11.41 (+1.60% on volume of 2,675,733 shares), positioning the stock -3.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.81) and +4.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.88). Across its 52-week range of $8.27 to $12.89, BGC sits at the 68.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($10.68 to $12.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: BGC RQD Cockpit BGC 12M Forecast BGC Earnings & Move BGC Dividends & DRIP BGC Insiders & 13F BGC Whale Options BGC Profit Sankey BGC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BGC — BGC Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $11.41 (+1.60% 1D, market capitalization $5.24B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 7.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

— The profile section identifies the company as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry, with a market capitalization of $5.3B (per the company profile).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) reported $2.44B in annual revenue (up from $1.81B in FY2024, +34.7% YoY) and $146.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.61B revenue, $38.8M net income) through FY2025, BGC scaled operating cash flow to $394.4M and free cash flow to $372.9M, backed by $4.41B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.27 – $12.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 36.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), BGC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can BGC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 15.1% ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.44B and free cash flow of $372.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.78B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGC's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BGC Group Inc. (Class A) (BGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.15 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine with 15.1% ROIC and 7% FCF yield, plus revenue growth from $1.61B to $2.44B over FY 2023–FY 2025.

Long BGC at $11.23 targeting $14.15. Strong cash engine with 15.1% ROIC and 7% FCF yield, plus revenue growth from $1.61B to $2.44B over FY 2023–FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.27 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.23 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.98 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $11.23

Trailing P/E of 36.3 and rising debt to $1.78B leave the valuation full and the balance sheet more leveraged.

Fading this rally in BGC at $11.23. Trailing P/E of 36.3 and rising debt to $1.78B leave the valuation full and the balance sheet more leveraged.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $11.23 (52-wk range $8.27–$12.89), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE