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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BJRI
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BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$63.14 +0.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.13

BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BJRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BJRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $63.14 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJRI ranks #302 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BJRI compare to SG and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BJRI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.32B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJRI?
▼

Per BJRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001013488), BJ's Restaurants Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $48.8M in net income, and $40.9M in free cash flow against $1.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.13 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$78 Bull$64 Base$50 Bear
📬 FREE BJRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BJRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BJRI SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.6) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$60.03-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$59.07-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$57.46+9.9% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$63.14+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BJRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BJRI faces multiple-compression risk if 27.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 72.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.63) or 200D SMA ($51.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.99) toward Bear Floor ($49.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BJRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BJRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
56.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.04>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE73% OF RANGE
L: $32$63.14H: $75
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (74.7% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on BJRI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

10.7% ROIC with 74.7% gross margin and 3.04% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.04 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BJRI
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BJRI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BJRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +70.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $63.28H $63.28L $62.53C $63.14VOL 396.2K
RES: $64.62SUP: $55.01SMA50: $60.63SMA200: $51.01
$77.28$66.17$55.06$43.95$32.84RES $64.62SUP $55.01$63.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BJRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BJRI Butterfly Map → + Track BJRI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BJRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BJRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BJRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BJRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #302 of 1009 ⚔️ SG vs BJRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BJRI vs. SG, WEN, ARCO, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) ranks #302 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #471 by equity capitalization ($1.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BJRI at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BJRI ACTIVE
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C- 61/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% +0.98% $1.33B Benchmark Subject
SG
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +3.61% $1.32B /sg-vs-bjri →
WEN
Wendy's Company
D 49/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +0.69% $1.37B /wen-vs-bjri →
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% +0.59% $1.42B /arco-vs-bjri →
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
B- 70/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% -0.43% $1.57B /cbrl-vs-bjri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0001013488 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $48.8M, operating cash flow of $110.5M, and free cash flow of $40.9M (+66.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BJRI closed FY2025 with $1.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-30 $1.40B $48.8M $110.5M $40.9M $1.02B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $16.7M $101.5M $24.6M $1.04B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-01-02 $1.33B $19.7M $105.8M $105.8M — —

3. BJRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BJRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BJ's Restaurants Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $63.14 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJRI ranks #302 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BJRI compare to SG and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BJRI carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, SG (Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.32B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJRI?

Per BJRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0001013488), BJ's Restaurants Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $48.8M in net income, and $40.9M in free cash flow against $1.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BJRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BJRI last traded at $63.14 (+0.98% on volume of 511,045 shares), positioning the stock +4.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.63) and +23.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($51.01). Across its 52-week range of $32.39 to $74.60, BJRI sits at the 72.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($57.71 to $68.57).

Direct Sub-Reports: BJRI RQD Cockpit BJRI 12M Forecast BJRI Earnings & Move BJRI Dividends & DRIP BJRI Insiders & 13F BJRI Whale Options BJRI Profit Sankey BJRI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BJRI — BJ's Restaurants Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $63.14 (+0.98% 1D, market capitalization $1.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.7%, gross margin of 74.7%, operating margin of 3.3%, and free cash flow yield of 3.04%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.04, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

BJ's Restaurants Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-30), BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) reported $1.40B in annual revenue (up from $1.36B in FY2024, +3.1% YoY) and $48.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.33B revenue, $19.7M net income) through FY2025, BJRI scaled operating cash flow to $110.5M and free cash flow to $40.9M, backed by $1.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 3.04% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.39 – $74.60 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 27.6x trailing P/E and 12.5x EV/EBITDA against 3.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), BJRI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 74.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BJRI sustain or expand its 3.3% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.40B and free cash flow of $40.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BJRI's 25.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BJRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BJ's Restaurants Inc. (BJRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BJRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BJRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $63.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BJRI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BJRI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $79.41 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew to $1.40B in FY 2025 with operating income rising to $46.3M, while the balance sheet screens reasonably sound with an Al

Revenue grew to $1.40B in FY 2025 with operating income rising to $46.3M, while the balance sheet screens reasonably sound with an Altman Z of 3.04 and Piotroski F of 6/9.. When you look under the hood at BJRI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 74.7% gross margins and 10.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $74.60. My 12M target is $79.41.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $62.53 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $52.53 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $62.53

At a trailing P/E of 27.6 and a 3.04% FCF yield, with free cash flow down from $105.8M in FY 2023 to $40.9M in FY 2025 and beta of 1.0,

Careful chasing BJRI at $62.53. At a trailing P/E of 27.6 and a 3.04% FCF yield, with free cash flow down from $105.8M in FY 2023 to $40.9M in FY 2025 and beta of 1.0, valuation leaves limited cushion.. Gross margin is 74.7%, but operating margin is 3.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $52.53 on multiple compression.

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