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Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.07 -4.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.03

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $636.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: BW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $4.07 (-4.68% 1D, market cap $636.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BW ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BW compare to JBI and GFF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), BW carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.5%, and ROIC of 48.2%. By comparison, JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $633.1M) and GFF (Griffon Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 91.2x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BW?
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Per BW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001630805), Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. generated $587.7M in revenue (+1.1% YoY), -$32.8M in net income, and -$85.7M in free cash flow against $662.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.03 (-1.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.7% Base Target
$23 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE BW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BW SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (35% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 24.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$4.98-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$4.57-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$4.54-10.4% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$4.07-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BW currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.00) and Max Pain ($4.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
34.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.07H: $22
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

48.2% ROIC with 24.5% gross margin and -12.61% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BW
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -73.01%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $4.56H $4.56L $4.07C $4.07VOL 3.32M
RES: $2.18SUP: $3.50SMA50: $6.00SMA200: $11.45
$23.29$18.07$12.85$7.63$2.41RES $2.18SUP $3.50$4.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BW Butterfly Map → + Track BW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BW)

Industrials Rank #458 of 486 ⚔️ JBI vs BW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BW vs. JBI, GFF, MTEN, BRNX)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) ranks #458 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #283 by equity capitalization ($636.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBI leads on earnings valuation at 11.6x trailing P/E, while BW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.2% ROIC and 24.5% gross margin. JBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with BW at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BW ACTIVE
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.
E 23/100 — 24.5% 48.2% -4.68% $636.1M Benchmark Subject
JBI
Janus International Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 11.6x 38.8% 7.9% +5.39% $633.1M /jbi-vs-bw →
GFF
Griffon Corporation
D 50/100 91.2x 42.0% 12.0% +3.01% $4.58B /gff-vs-bw →
MTEN
Mingteng International Corporation Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 — 22.5% -1.6% -41.37% $6.5M /mten-vs-bw →
BRNX
BrenX Ltd.
E 29/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -6.26% $891.9K /brnx-vs-bw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001630805 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) reported GAAP revenue of $587.7M (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $581.0M , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$32.8M, operating cash flow of -$68.9M, and free cash flow of -$85.7M (+34.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BW closed FY2025 with $662.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $587.7M -$32.8M -$68.9M -$85.7M $662.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $581.0M -$72.9M -$118.7M -$129.9M $727.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $587.4M -$75.8M -$42.3M -$42.3M — —

3. BW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: BW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $4.07 (-4.68% 1D, market cap $636.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BW ranks #458 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BW compare to JBI and GFF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Products), BW carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.5%, and ROIC of 48.2%. By comparison, JBI (Janus International Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $633.1M) and GFF (Griffon Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 91.2x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBI leads on earnings multiple (11.6x) while BW leads on capital efficiency (48.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BW?

Per BW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001630805), Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. generated $587.7M in revenue (+1.1% YoY), -$32.8M in net income, and -$85.7M in free cash flow against $662.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BW last traded at $4.07 (-4.68% on volume of 3,546,539 shares), positioning the stock -32.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.00) and -64.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.45). Across its 52-week range of $3.51 to $22.03, BW sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.56 to $4.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: BW RQD Cockpit BW 12M Forecast BW Earnings & Move BW Dividends & DRIP BW Insiders & 13F BW Whale Options BW Profit Sankey BW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BW — Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 23/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.07 (-4.68% 1D, market capitalization $636.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 48.2%, gross margin of 24.5%, operating margin of 3.5%, and free cash flow yield of -12.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (BW) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Building Products industry, with a market capitalization of $0.7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) reported $587.7M in annual revenue (up from $581.0M in FY2024, +1.1% YoY) and -$32.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($587.4M revenue, -$75.8M net income) through FY2025, BW scaled operating cash flow to -$68.9M and free cash flow to -$85.7M, backed by $662.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 23/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -12.61% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.51 – $22.03 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 16.9x EV/EBITDA against 3.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — Second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources. A prospective investor should watch for the earnings release referenced in the news wire and for changes in cash flow, since the source data offers no supply-chain linkage to test those effects.

  • Key Question #1: Can BW sustain or expand its 3.5% operating margin and 48.2% ROIC against Building Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $587.7M and free cash flow of -$85.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BW's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. (BW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.07?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.91 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported ROIC of 48.2% and a rise in cash to $89.5M in FY 2025 suggest the operating base may be improving.

Reported ROIC of 48.2% and a rise in cash to $89.5M in FY 2025 suggest the operating base may be improving.. When you look under the hood at BW, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 24.5% gross margins and 48.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $22.03. My 12M target is $4.91.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Building Products. If gross margin (24.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.67 (-14.1%)
Spot @ $4.27

A negative FCF yield of -12.61% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal cash burn and financial distress risk.

Careful chasing BW at $4.27. A negative FCF yield of -12.61% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal cash burn and financial distress risk.. Gross margin is 24.5%, but operating margin is 3.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $3.67 on multiple compression.

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