My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.38 +2.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.38

Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.38 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $3.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHR compare to MASK and PAVS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CHR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, MASK (3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 4.7x, ROIC 17.9%, cap $3.2M) and PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHR?
▼

Per CHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001738758), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share generated $148.8M in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $25.6M in net income, and $17.9M in free cash flow against $401.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.38 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (9)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$44 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHR SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.1% FCF Margin ($17.9M FCF) & 71% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.46 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.71-24.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$1.29-4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.23+12.2% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$1.38-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CHR currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.56) and Max Pain ($1.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.46>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.38H: $42
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (71.0% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on CHR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

16.3% ROIC with 71.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.46 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CHR
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.33%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.35H $1.38L $1.35C $1.38VOL 7.5K
RES: $1.68SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.56SMA200: $2.26
$55.11$40.49$25.87$11.24$-3.38RES $1.68SUP $1.10$1.382026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHR)

Technology Rank #428 of 715 ⚔️ MASK vs CHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CHR vs. MASK, PAVS, CXAI, DAIC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) ranks #428 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #687 by equity capitalization ($3.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASK leads on earnings valuation at 4.7x trailing P/E, while MASK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.9% ROIC and 49.8% gross margin. MASK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with CHR at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHR ACTIVE
Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share
D 45/100 — 71.0% 16.3% +2.18% $3.2M Benchmark Subject
MASK
3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)
D 49/100 4.7x 49.8% 17.9% -31.69% $3.2M /mask-vs-chr →
PAVS
Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — 16.5% — -8.41% $3.0M /pavs-vs-chr →
CXAI
CXApp Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 87.4% -35.0% +1.50% $3.4M /cxai-vs-chr →
DAIC
CID HoldCo Inc.
E 26/100 — 46.0% -35.0% -7.08% $3.6M /daic-vs-chr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001738758 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) reported GAAP revenue of $148.8M (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $147.2M , and -2.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.6M, operating cash flow of $17.9M, and free cash flow of $17.9M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHR closed FY2025 with $401.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $148.8M $25.6M $17.9M $17.9M $401.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $147.2M $26.0M $22.9M $22.9M $346.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $152.3M $30.5M $42.2M $42.2M — —

3. CHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.38 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $3.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does CHR compare to MASK and PAVS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CHR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 71.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, MASK (3 E Network Technology Group Ltd (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 4.7x, ROIC 17.9%, cap $3.2M) and PAVS (Paranovus Entertainment Technology Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASK leads on earnings multiple (4.7x) while MASK leads on capital efficiency (17.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHR?

Per CHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001738758), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share generated $148.8M in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $25.6M in net income, and $17.9M in free cash flow against $401.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHR last traded at $1.38 (+2.18% on volume of 12,850 shares), positioning the stock -11.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.56) and -38.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.26). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $42.00, CHR sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.21 to $1.55).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHR — Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.38 (+2.18% 1D, market capitalization $3.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.3%, gross margin of 71.0%, operating margin of 17.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.46, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the EDP Services industry. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $3.2M shown in market data and should be reconciled. Per the market data, gross margin is 71%, operating margin 17.7%, and net margin 17.2%, indicating the reported revenue base is highly profitable at the margin level.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) reported $148.8M in annual revenue (up from $147.2M in FY2024, +1.1% YoY) and $25.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($152.3M revenue, $30.5M net income) through FY2025, CHR scaled operating cash flow to $17.9M and free cash flow to $17.9M, backed by $401.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.16 – $42.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 17.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level linkage in the sources is the liquidity sensitivity above: a 3.36x beta to net liquidity means changes in Fed balance sheet, Treasury General Account, or reverse repo flows could amplify price moves in either direction. The graph does not identify specific suppliers, customers, or correlated peers, so second-order bottlenecks remain unidentified in source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHR sustain or expand its 17.7% operating margin and 16.3% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $148.8M and free cash flow of $17.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHR's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share (CHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 117d ago
Cheer Holding, Inc.

Announces Results of its Annual General Meeting BEIJING, July 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Cheer Holding, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHR) (“Cheer Holding,” “we” or the “Company”), a leading provider of next-generation mobile internet

Read Full Source ↗
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 85d ago
Chorus Aviation Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Chorus Aviation (TSE:CHR) reported second-quarter results marked by steady adjusted EBITDA, higher adjusted earnings per share, strong cash generation and continued expansion in aviation, aerospace and defense-related bu

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.61 (+19.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating economics are solid, with 16.3% ROIC, 17.7% operating margin, and a 71% gross margin on $148.8M of FY 2025 revenue.

Don't sleep on CHR's setup in Technology. Operating economics are solid, with 16.3% ROIC, 17.7% operating margin, and a 71% gross margin on $148.8M of FY 2025 revenue.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (45/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 45/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.35 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.26.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.12 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $1.35

Institutional flow scores 3/20 and the liquidity signal is bearish at 20/100 with 3.36x net liquidity elasticity, while FCF yield is 0%

I respect the product at Cheer Holding Inc. Class A Ordinary Share, but the stock at $1.35 is a different story. Institutional flow scores 3/20 and the liquidity signal is bearish at 20/100 with 3.36x net liquidity elasticity, while FCF yield is 0%.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 45/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE