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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPHC
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Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$15.61 -0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.56

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $81.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPHC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $15.61 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $81.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $76.5M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?
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Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $6.9M in revenue (-61.7% YoY), -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.56 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 129.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$19 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE CPHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPHC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 129.1% FCF Margin ($8.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$15.70+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$15.82-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$15.77-1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$15.61+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CPHC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.78) or 200D SMA ($15.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.96) toward Bear Floor ($12.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
48.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE50% OF RANGE
L: $14$15.61H: $17
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on CPHC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

2.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.96% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CPHC
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CPHC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $15.66H $15.74L $15.61C $15.61VOL 700
RES: $16.00SUP: $14.97SMA50: $15.78SMA200: $15.71
$16.96$16.45$15.93$15.42$14.90RES $16.00SUP $14.97$15.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPHC Butterfly Map → + Track CPHC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -61.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #274 of 1009 ⚔️ VENU vs CPHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPHC vs. VENU, GDHG, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #763 by equity capitalization ($81.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CPHC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPHC ACTIVE
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'
C 63/100 — — 2.7% -0.83% $81.6M Benchmark Subject
VENU
Venu Holding Corporation
E 22/100 — — -31.1% +3.85% $76.5M /venu-vs-cphc →
GDHG
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
D 46/100 — 50.2% — -1.80% $72.7M /gdhg-vs-cphc →
TP
Ticketplus Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — 0.00% $107.5M /tp-vs-cphc →
GAME
GameSquare Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 — 43.4% -35.0% +3.98% $46.4M /game-vs-cphc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001672909 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.9M (-61.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.0M , and -78.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$529.4K, operating cash flow of $8.9M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (+37.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPHC closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.9M -$529.4K $8.9M $8.9M $112.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.0M $2.1M $6.5M $6.5M $109.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $32.2M $10.6M $11.5M $11.5M — —

3. CPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $15.61 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $81.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $76.5M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?

Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $6.9M in revenue (-61.7% YoY), -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPHC last traded at $15.61 (-0.83% on volume of 681 shares), positioning the stock -1.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.78) and -0.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.71). Across its 52-week range of $14.39 to $16.84, CPHC sits at the 49.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($15.33 to $15.89).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPHC RQD Cockpit CPHC 12M Forecast CPHC Earnings & Move CPHC Dividends & DRIP CPHC Insiders & 13F CPHC Whale Options CPHC Profit Sankey CPHC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPHC — Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New': What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $15.61 (-0.83% 1D, market capitalization $81.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 10.96%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. — describes the products sold, the customer base, or the specific revenue model. The source data reports a market capitalization of $0.1B .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) reported $6.9M in annual revenue (up from $18.0M in FY2024, -61.7% YoY) and -$529.4K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.2M revenue, $10.6M net income) through FY2025, CPHC scaled operating cash flow to $8.9M and free cash flow to $8.9M, backed by $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 10.96% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.39 – $16.84 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 28.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (Consumer Discretionary), CPHC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPHC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 2.7% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.9M and free cash flow of $8.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPHC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CPHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.05 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FCF yield of 10.96% per the RQD rating is the strongest pillar signal against a $15.66 price.

FCF yield of 10.96% per the RQD rating is the strongest pillar signal against a $15.66 price.. When you look under the hood at CPHC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 2.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $16.84. My 12M target is $19.05.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.22 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $15.74

Operating income fell from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.7%.

Careful chasing CPHC at $15.74. Operating income fell from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.7%.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.22 on multiple compression.

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