ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account β†’
β–Ύ
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚑ My $100K Trading Account β†’ β˜… My Saved Watchlist β†’
🟒 My $100K Account β†’ Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record πŸ’° $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions πŸ›οΈ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Industrials / DCO
ATRO (49) RDW (31) FLY (20) AADX (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$163.65 +2.10% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $163.96

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $2.42B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DCO Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE: DCO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $163.65 (+2.10% 1D, market cap $2.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DCO ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DCO compare to ATRO and RDW in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), DCO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ATRO (Astronics Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 92.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $2.55B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCO?
β–Ό

Per DCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000030305), Ducommun Incorporated generated $824.8M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), -$37.4M in net income, and -$48.6M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $300.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $163.96 (+0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$221 Bull$148 Base$116 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DCO SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.9% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$168.98-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$166.44-1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$164.79-0.7% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$163.65-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While DCO currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($169.23) and Max Pain ($171.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $220.91.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.330 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.43>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE63% OF RANGE
L: $85$163.65H: $210
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on DCO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-3.1% ROIC with 26.9% gross margin and -1.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.43 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DCO
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of DCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
DCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.44%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $168.1H $168.1L $160.3C $163.7VOL 194.1K
RES: $168.3SUP: $150.2SMA50: $169.2SMA200: $154.0
$217.7$187.4$157.2$126.9$96.62RES $168.3SUP $150.2$163.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ DCO Butterfly Map β†’ + Track DCO β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCO)

Industrials Rank #355 of 486 βš”οΈ ATRO vs DCO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DCO vs. ATRO, RDW, FLY, AADX)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) ranks #355 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #196 by equity capitalization ($2.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with DCO at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DCO ACTIVE
Ducommun Incorporated
D- 37/100 β€” 26.9% -3.1% +2.10% $2.42B Benchmark Subject
ATRO
Astronics Corporation
D 49/100 92.1x 29.9% 13.2% +0.94% $2.55B /atro-vs-dco β†’
RDW
Redwire Corporation
E 31/100 β€” 5.2% -17.4% -6.67% $2.10B /rdw-vs-dco β†’
FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
E 20/100 β€” 19.2% -35.0% -9.17% $3.00B /fly-vs-dco β†’
AADX
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.18% $1.92B /aadx-vs-dco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000030305 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) reported GAAP revenue of $824.8M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $786.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.4M, operating cash flow of -$33.4M, and free cash flow of -$48.6M (-342.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCO closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $300.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $824.8M -$37.4M -$33.4M -$48.6M $1.19B $300.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $786.4M $21.7M $34.2M $20.1M $1.13B $230.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $757.0M $15.9M $31.1M $31.1M β€” β€”

3. DCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE: DCO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $163.65 (+2.10% 1D, market cap $2.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DCO ranks #355 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCO compare to ATRO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), DCO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ATRO (Astronics Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 92.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $2.55B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCO?

Per DCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000030305), Ducommun Incorporated generated $824.8M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), -$37.4M in net income, and -$48.6M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $300.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCO last traded at $163.65 (+2.10% on volume of 140,645 shares), positioning the stock -3.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($169.23) and +6.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($153.95). Across its 52-week range of $84.76 to $210.39, DCO sits at the 62.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.9% ($149.09 to $178.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: DCO RQD Cockpit DCO 12M Forecast DCO Earnings & Move DCO Dividends & DRIP DCO Insiders & 13F DCO Whale Options DCO Profit Sankey DCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DCO β€” Ducommun Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $163.65 (+2.10% 1D, market capitalization $2.42B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.1%, gross margin of 26.9%, operating margin of -4.3%, and free cash flow yield of -1.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.43, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.45x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Military/Government/Technical industry. Revenue figures are reported in the Financial Trend section below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) reported $824.8M in annual revenue (up from $786.4M in FY2024, +4.9% YoY) and -$37.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($757.0M revenue, $15.9M net income) through FY2025, DCO scaled operating cash flow to -$33.4M and free cash flow to -$48.6M, backed by $1.19B in total assets against $300.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.92% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $84.76 – $210.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be identified from the source data. Sector correlations are limited to the Industrials classification and the Military/Government/Technical industry. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped supply-chain links means second-order bottleneck analysis is not supported by these sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can DCO sustain or expand its -4.3% operating margin and -3.1% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $824.8M and free cash flow of -$48.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $300.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DCO's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $163.65?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.53 (+17.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The Altman Z-Score of 4.43 and Debt/Equity of 0.45 indicate a balance sheet that the rating scores as relatively stronger than its cash

The street is overcomplicating Ducommun Incorporated (DCO). The Altman Z-Score of 4.43 and Debt/Equity of 0.45 indicate a balance sheet that the rating scores as relatively stronger than its cash engine.. With an RQD score of 37/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $173.10.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $160.28 and keeping dry powder in case we test $149.06.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $133.03 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $160.28

Negative FY 2025 net income (-$37.4M), negative FCF (-$48.6M), and debt rising to $300.0M leave the cash engine and ROIC (-3.1%) as the

I respect the product at Ducommun Incorporated, but the stock at $160.28 is a different story. Negative FY 2025 net income (-$37.4M), negative FCF (-$48.6M), and debt rising to $300.0M leave the cash engine and ROIC (-3.1%) as the primary weakness.. FCF yield is -1.92% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE