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Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.66 +1.25% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.56B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DJT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.66 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DJT ranks #542 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DJT compare to WB and DV in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DJT carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.5%, and ROIC of -29.9%. By comparison, WB (Weibo Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 22.6%, cap $1.53B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DJT?
β–Ό

Per DJT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849635), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. generated $3.7M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $14.2M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $442.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66 (+0.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 385.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (7)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$18 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DJT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DJT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DJT SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 385.2% FCF Margin ($14.2M FCF) & 54.5% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$7.75-16.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$6.47-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$6.36-11% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$5.66-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DJT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While DJT currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.15) and Max Pain ($5.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.94.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DJTβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDJT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
24.830 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $5$5.66H: $17
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on DJT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-29.9% ROIC with 54.5% gross margin and 0.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DJT
  • βœ“Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DJT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of DJT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DJT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.48%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.78H $5.78L $5.59C $5.66VOL 5.27M
RES: $11.78SUP: $5.31SMA50: $8.15SMA200: $9.23
$14.09$11.73$9.38$7.02$4.67RES $11.78SUP $5.31$5.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DJT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DJT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DJT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DJT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DJT)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DJT vs. WB, DV, GRND, CSQR)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) ranks #542 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #317 by equity capitalization ($1.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. DV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with DJT at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DJT ACTIVE
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
E 33/100 β€” 54.5% -29.9% +1.25% $1.56B Benchmark Subject
WB
Weibo Corporation
D 48/100 β€” β€” 22.6% +2.25% $1.53B /wb-vs-djt β†’
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% 0.00% $2.10B /dv-vs-djt β†’
GRND
Grindr Inc.
C 64/100 23.7x β€” 29.7% +0.95% $2.20B /grnd-vs-djt β†’
CSQR
Csquare Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.38% $2.21B /csqr-vs-djt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001849635 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.7M (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.6M , and -10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $14.8M, and free cash flow of $14.2M (+121.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DJT closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $442.6K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.7M $0 $14.8M $14.2M $2.63B $442.6K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.6M -$400.9M -$61.0M -$66.0M $938.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.1M -$58.2M -$9.7M -$9.7M β€” β€”

3. DJT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.66 (+1.25% 1D, market cap $1.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DJT ranks #542 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DJT compare to WB and DV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DJT carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.5%, and ROIC of -29.9%. By comparison, WB (Weibo Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 22.6%, cap $1.53B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DJT?

Per DJT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849635), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. generated $3.7M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $14.2M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $442.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DJT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DJT last traded at $5.66 (+1.25% on volume of 5,944,135 shares), positioning the stock -30.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.15) and -38.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.23). Across its 52-week range of $5.40 to $17.09, DJT sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.8% ($5.05 to $6.27).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DJT β€” Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $5.66 (+1.25% 1D, market capitalization $1.56B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -29.9%, gross margin of 54.5%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 0.88%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Reported revenue is $3.7M for FY 2025, . Gross margin is listed at 54.5% in the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) reported $3.7M in annual revenue (up from $3.6M in FY2024, +1.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.1M revenue, -$58.2M net income) through FY2025, DJT scaled operating cash flow to $14.8M and free cash flow to $14.2M, backed by $2.63B in total assets against $442.6K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.88% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.40 – $17.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation data is not provided beyond the beta of 1.0 in the market data. Investors should watch whether the merger filing and any related earnings disclosures alter the cash and debt picture reported in the SEC financials.

  • Key Question #1: Can DJT sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -29.9% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.7M and free cash flow of $14.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $442.6K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DJT's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DJT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DJT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DJT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $5.66?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DJT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DJT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.38 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $14.2M and cash of $134.6M against debt of $0.4M give the balance sheet a liquidity cushion despite

Long DJT at $5.59 targeting $7.38. Reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $14.2M and cash of $134.6M against debt of $0.4M give the balance sheet a liquidity cushion despite negative operating income.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $5.40 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” DJT's 7/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.58 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $5.59

Negative ROIC of -29.9%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and a 0.88% FCF yield signal weak returns and elevated forensic distress risk, with

Fading this rally in DJT at $5.59. Negative ROIC of -29.9%, an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and a 0.88% FCF yield signal weak returns and elevated forensic distress risk, with shares down over 51% in a year.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $5.59 (52-wk range $5.40–$17.09), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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