Embecta Corp. (EMBC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$6.25 -4.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (63% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $371.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EMBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ: EMBC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $6.25 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $371.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, EMBC ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EMBC compare to MOBI and CLPT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), EMBC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of 62.6%, and ROIC of 35.5%. By comparison, MOBI (Mobia Medical Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $375.2M) and CLPT (ClearPoint Neuro Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $342.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMBC leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while EMBC leads on capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBC?
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Per EMBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001872789), Embecta Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $95.4M in net income, and $182.4M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (63% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21 (-0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 16.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+
Cash (19)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$16 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE EMBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EMBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EMBC SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($182.4M FCF) & 62.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$5.99+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$6.21+9.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$6.80-8.1% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$6.25+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EMBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, EMBC faces multiple-compression risk if 3.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 60.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.76) or 200D SMA ($6.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.70) toward Bear Floor ($5.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EMBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EMBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
58.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE
L: $3$6.25H: $15
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (63% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on EMBC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (95)

35.5% ROIC with 62.6% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (67)

28/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EMBC
  • ✓Strong cash generator (63% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EMBC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EMBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.43%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $6.46H $6.56L $6.25C $6.25VOL 1.11M
RES: $7.11SUP: $3.72SMA50: $5.76SMA200: $6.41
$12.52$9.88$7.23$4.59$1.95RES $7.11SUP $3.72$6.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EMBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EMBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EMBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EMBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EMBC)

Health Care Rank #51 of 1016 ⚔️ MOBI vs EMBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (EMBC vs. MOBI, CLPT, OFIX, TMCI)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Embecta Corp. (EMBC) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #489 by equity capitalization ($371.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMBC leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while EMBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.5% ROIC and 62.6% gross margin. EMBC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EMBC ACTIVE
Embecta Corp.
B 74/100 3.9x 62.6% 35.5% -4.73% $371.7M Benchmark Subject
MOBI
Mobia Medical Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — — -6.12% $375.2M /mobi-vs-embc →
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro Inc.
E 19/100 — 61.4% -35.0% -0.19% $342.7M /clpt-vs-embc →
OFIX
Orthofix Medical Inc.
D 47/100 — 68.8% -12.2% -11.43% $417.1M /ofix-vs-embc →
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts Inc.
D- 40/100 — 79.8% -32.4% -12.45% $329.1M /tmci-vs-embc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001872789

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Embecta Corp. (EMBC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (-3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.4M, operating cash flow of $191.7M, and free cash flow of $182.4M (+816.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, EMBC closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.08B $95.4M $191.7M $182.4M $1.06B $1.35B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.12B $78.3M $35.7M $19.9M $1.15B $1.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.12B $70.4M $67.7M $67.7M — —

3. EMBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EMBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ: EMBC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $6.25 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $371.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, EMBC ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EMBC compare to MOBI and CLPT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), EMBC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of 62.6%, and ROIC of 35.5%. By comparison, MOBI (Mobia Medical Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $375.2M) and CLPT (ClearPoint Neuro Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $342.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMBC leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while EMBC leads on capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBC?

Per EMBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001872789), Embecta Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $95.4M in net income, and $182.4M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (63% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EMBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EMBC last traded at $6.25 (-4.73% on volume of 831,126 shares), positioning the stock +8.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.76) and -2.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.41). Across its 52-week range of $2.77 to $14.91, EMBC sits at the 28.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($5.64 to $6.86).

EMBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell EMBC stock right now?

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (63% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is EMBC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EMBC's 12-month base price target is $6.7 (range $5.13 to $15.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EMBC — Embecta Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EMBC scores 74 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an ROIC of 35.5% alongside an FCF yield of 0%. The strong return on invested capital is the primary upside driver in this pillar, while the zero FCF yield is a valuation tradeoff: the reported free cash flow is not being returned to shareholders at the current market price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The modest score suggests institutional flow is a weaker supporting factor than the fundamentals. Holder data in the source is not available, so the underlying positioning cannot be examined further here.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a relatively strong score, though the underlying trade detail is not available in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves; the score indicates moderate rather than favorable macro alignment.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. These support solvency and fundamental quality, but the reported debt level is a key consideration for a prospective investor.

Taken together, the rating points to strong cash-generation economics and reasonable forensic health, offset by weaker institutional flow and macro fit. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the central question is whether the high ROIC and low trailing valuation outweigh the leverage and the absence of free-cash-flow yield.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$6.56$371.7M3.93.66.11.689.42%1.0$2.77 - $14.9135.5%

Business

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $0.4B. Per the market data, its gross margin is 62.6%, operating margin 22.4%, and net margin 8.8%. Product, customer, and revenue-model detail is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items dated within roughly the prior 15 hours of the data timestamp. Per the news feed, the items are labeled as follows:

  • Risk Watch (RED): "What Embecta Bears Saw Before A 55% Drop" (Yahoo Finance) and "Did Embecta's 52% Fall Catch You Out? What Investors Missed" (Simply Wall St). Both reference large declines in the stock, but the underlying causes are not available in source data.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A Stocktwits general overview; an analyst-insights piece from The Globe and Mail naming EMBC alongside AIRS; a law-firm notice from The National Law Review stating that Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC is investigating Embecta Corp. (EMBC) and encouraging stockholders to connect; and a kalkine.ca item noting a 6.86% move on light volume with no catalyst found.

Per the news feed, the investigation notice is the most specific item; its substance and any allegations are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported 52–55% declines referenced in the news wire, and are they tied to the investigation notice?
  • What is the nature of the investigation referenced by the law-firm notice, and what allegations, if any, are involved?
  • Why is the FCF yield 0% when reported FY 2025 free cash flow is $182.4M, and how does that reconcile with the market capitalization?
  • What is the composition of the $1352.9M debt, including maturities and refinancing exposure?
  • What EPS values were reported for the financial periods, given that the source lists them as N/A?

EMBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Embecta Corp. (EMBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EMBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EMBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EMBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EMBC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.74 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EMBC (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $6.56?

Welcome to the EMBC (Embecta Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.51 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $6.56

Pump the brakes on EMBC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EMBC, but look at what you are paying: 3.9x trailing P/E with 62.6% gross margins. Unless Embecta Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.81 (+19.1%)
Spot @ $6.56

EMBC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EMBC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.56 (52-wk range $2.77 - $14.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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