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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FND
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Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$49.14 +3.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.33

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.96B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (NYSE: FND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $49.14 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $4.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FND ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FND compare to BLDR and BCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), FND carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.7x, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.98B) and BCC (Boise Cascade L.L.C.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while TSCO leads on capital efficiency (27.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FND?
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Per FND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-25, CIK 0001507079), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. generated $4.68B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), $208.6M in net income, and $171.1M in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $193.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.34 (+0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (7)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$81 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE FND RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FND SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.62 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$44.22+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$45.11+5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$47.55+3.3% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$49.14-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FND Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FND currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.49) and Max Pain ($51.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $81.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.62>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE
L: $43$49.14H: $77
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (43.6% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on FND

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

11.0% ROIC with 43.6% gross margin and 3.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.62 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FND
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FND)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $50.34H $50.34L $47.59C $49.14VOL 5.62M
RES: $70.67SUP: $42.34SMA50: $47.49SMA200: $54.25
$69.51$62.23$54.94$47.66$40.38RES $70.67SUP $42.34$49.142026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FND Butterfly Map → + Track FND →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FND)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #479 of 1009 ⚔️ BLDR vs FND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FND vs. BLDR, BCC, QXO, TSCO)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #271 by equity capitalization ($4.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLDR leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while TSCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.9% ROIC and 36.4% gross margin. TSCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FND at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FND ACTIVE
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 25.7x 43.6% 11.0% +3.26% $4.96B Benchmark Subject
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc.
C- 60/100 15.6x 30.4% 8.8% +4.48% $6.98B /bldr-vs-fnd →
BCC
Boise Cascade L.L.C.
D+ 52/100 20.4x — 7.1% -4.86% $2.75B /bcc-vs-fnd →
QXO
QXO Inc.
E 26/100 — 23.0% -1.9% +5.80% $11.45B /qxo-vs-fnd →
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
B- 70/100 16.0x 36.4% 27.9% +4.04% $17.68B /tsco-vs-fnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-25 • CIK 0001507079 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-25), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) reported GAAP revenue of $4.68B (+5.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $208.6M, operating cash flow of $381.8M, and free cash flow of $171.1M (-57.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FND closed FY2025 with $5.47B in total assets against $193.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.62, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-25 $4.68B $208.6M $381.8M $171.1M $5.47B $193.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-26 $4.46B $205.9M $603.2M $402.6M $5.05B $194.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-28 $4.41B $246.0M $803.6M $605.0M $5.30B $1.24B

3. FND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (NYSE: FND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $49.14 (+3.26% 1D, market cap $4.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FND ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FND compare to BLDR and BCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), FND carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.7x, gross margin of 43.6%, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.98B) and BCC (Boise Cascade L.L.C.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while TSCO leads on capital efficiency (27.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FND?

Per FND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-25, CIK 0001507079), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. generated $4.68B in revenue (+5.1% YoY), $208.6M in net income, and $171.1M in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $193.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FND last traded at $49.14 (+3.26% on volume of 3,487,990 shares), positioning the stock +3.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.49) and -9.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.25). Across its 52-week range of $42.64 to $77.46, FND sits at the 18.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($44.23 to $54.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: FND RQD Cockpit FND 12M Forecast FND Earnings & Move FND Dividends & DRIP FND Insiders & 13F FND Whale Options FND Profit Sankey FND News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FND — Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-25

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $49.14 (+3.26% 1D, market capitalization $4.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.0%, gross margin of 43.6%, operating margin of 5.8%, and free cash flow yield of 3.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.62, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the RETAIL: Building Materials industry. And profile, the company generates revenue from retail sales of building materials.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-25), Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) reported $4.68B in annual revenue (up from $4.46B in FY2024, +5.1% YoY) and $208.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.41B revenue, $246.0M net income) through FY2025, FND scaled operating cash flow to $381.8M and free cash flow to $171.1M, backed by $5.47B in total assets against $193.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.19% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.64 – $77.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 25.7x trailing P/E and 10.9x EV/EBITDA against 5.8% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped. Upstream/downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — The most-cited second-order theme in the news wire is margin pressure (per the Investing.com headline), which a prospective investor could track as a bellwether for operating margin (currently 5.8%) against the FY 2023 to FY 2025 trend in operating income.

  • Key Question #1: Can FND sustain or expand its 5.8% operating margin and 11.0% ROIC against RETAIL: Building Materials peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.68B and free cash flow of $171.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $193.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FND's 23.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

FND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. (FND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FND Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $49.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FND 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FND:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.82 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08, indicating strong financial stabi

Long FND at $47.59 targeting $62.82. The forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.62, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08, indicating strong financial stability.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $42.64 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.1 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $47.59 and keeping dry powder in case we test $44.26.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.69 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $47.59

Free cash flow fell from $605.0M in FY 2023 to $171.1M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at a 25.7 trailing P/E, and the RQD rating car

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FND above $47.59. Free cash flow fell from $605.0M in FY 2023 to $171.1M in FY 2025 while the stock trades at a 25.7 trailing P/E, and the RQD rating carries a trim verdict.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (3.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $77.46.

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