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Stock Ratings / Industrials / JBHT
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J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$223.80 +1.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.87

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.61B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBHT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $223.80 (+1.23% 1D, market cap $20.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JBHT ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBHT compare to ZTO and ODFL in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), JBHT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.51B) and ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBHT?
▼

Per JBHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728535), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. generated $2.42B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $598.3M in net income, and $947.6M in free cash flow against $7.93B in total assets and $766.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.87 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 39.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$315 Bull$232 Base$181 Bear
📬 FREE JBHT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBHT SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.27 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 39.1% FCF Margin ($947.6M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$232.16-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$228.59-2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$223.26+0.2% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$223.80+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBHT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, JBHT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($239.26) or 200D SMA ($246.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($231.86) toward Bear Floor ($180.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.27>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE46% OF RANGE
L: $158$223.80H: $300
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish on JBHT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

15.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.58% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 5.27 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JBHT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JBHT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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JBHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.10%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $222.1H $223.8L $221.1C $223.8VOL 1.30M
RES: $319.2SUP: $217.1SMA50: $239.3SMA200: $246.4
$307.9$274.3$240.7$207.2$173.6RES $319.2SUP $217.1$223.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBHT Butterfly Map → + Track JBHT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBHT)

Industrials Rank #71 of 486 ⚔️ ZTO vs JBHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JBHT vs. ZTO, ODFL, KNX, SAIA)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) ranks #71 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #60 by equity capitalization ($20.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ODFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ODFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with JBHT at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBHT ACTIVE
J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.
C+ 66/100 34.6x — 15.8% +1.23% $20.61B Benchmark Subject
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American
C 65/100 11.8x 25.0% 12.5% +0.99% $15.51B /zto-vs-jbht →
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.
C+ 67/100 34.9x — 25.5% +2.13% $35.78B /odfl-vs-jbht →
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 150.9x — 1.9% +1.47% $9.89B /knx-vs-jbht →
SAIA
Saia Inc.
C- 59/100 35.9x — 8.5% +2.98% $9.19B /saia-vs-jbht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000728535 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.42B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.33B , and -12.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $598.3M, operating cash flow of $1.68B, and free cash flow of $947.6M (+53.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBHT closed FY2025 with $7.93B in total assets against $766.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.27, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.42B $598.3M $1.68B $947.6M $7.93B $766.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.33B $570.9M $1.48B $617.8M $8.31B $977.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.78B $728.3M $1.74B $1.74B $11.39B $2.66B

3. JBHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ: JBHT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $223.80 (+1.23% 1D, market cap $20.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, JBHT ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBHT compare to ZTO and ODFL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), JBHT carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.8%. By comparison, ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.51B) and ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $35.78B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBHT?

Per JBHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728535), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. generated $2.42B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $598.3M in net income, and $947.6M in free cash flow against $7.93B in total assets and $766.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBHT last traded at $223.80 (+1.23% on volume of 743,520 shares), positioning the stock -6.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($239.26) and -9.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($246.40). Across its 52-week range of $157.82 to $299.76, JBHT sits at the 46.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($211.49 to $236.11).

Direct Sub-Reports: JBHT RQD Cockpit JBHT 12M Forecast JBHT Earnings & Move JBHT Dividends & DRIP JBHT Insiders & 13F JBHT Whale Options JBHT Profit Sankey JBHT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

JBHT — J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $223.80 (+1.23% 1D, market capitalization $20.61B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 4.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.27, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry. The profile does not describe its customers, service lines, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) reported $2.42B in annual revenue (up from $2.33B in FY2024, +4.1% YoY) and $598.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.78B revenue, $728.3M net income) through FY2025, JBHT scaled operating cash flow to $1.68B and free cash flow to $947.6M, backed by $7.93B in total assets against $766.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $157.82 – $299.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 34.6x trailing P/E and 14.4x EV/EBITDA against 14.9% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Trucking Freight/Courier Services (Industrials), JBHT carries a macro regime beta of 1.02 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can JBHT sustain or expand its 14.9% operating margin and 15.8% ROIC against Trucking Freight/Courier Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.42B and free cash flow of $947.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $766.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JBHT's 32.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

JBHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (JBHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBHT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $223.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBHT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBHT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $287.40 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 5.27, Piotroski F 8/9) and 15.8% ROIC support a quality-business case despite a rich multiple.

Here is why I am bullish on JBHT here at $221.08: Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 5.27, Piotroski F 8/9) and 15.8% ROIC support a quality-business case despite a rich multiple.. Compare JBHT's 14.9% operating margin and 15.8% ROIC against the rest of Trucking Freight/Courier Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $210.03 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $221.08 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $183.50 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $221.08

A 34.6 P/E (TTM) with a 4.58% FCF yield and weak 13F institutional flow leaves little valuation cushion if earnings disappoint.

A 34.6 P/E (TTM) with a 4.58% FCF yield and weak 13F institutional flow leaves little valuation cushion if earnings disappoint.. Look at the math on JBHT: paying 34.6x trailing P/E for 15.8% ROIC and 14.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Trucking Freight/Courier Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $194.55 before getting long.

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