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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MH
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McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.78 -4.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $12.78 (-4.20% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.40B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?
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Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66 (-0.95%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 11.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$19 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE MH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MH SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 42% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$13.42+6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$14.27-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$14.10-9.4% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$12.78-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MH currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.34) and Max Pain ($13.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.52>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE42% OF RANGE
L: $9$12.78H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

7.6% ROIC with 80.9% gross margin and 9.28% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 0.52 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (57)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MH
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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MH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.50%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $13.88H $13.88L $12.78C $12.78VOL 439.4K
RES: $15.07SUP: $13.41SMA50: $13.34SMA200: $12.62
$15.30$13.57$11.85$10.13$8.41RES $15.07SUP $13.41$12.782026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MH Butterfly Map → + Track MH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #544 of 1009 ⚔️ CMPR vs MH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MH vs. CMPR, WBTN, DLX, ACCO)

Industry: Publishing (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #383 by equity capitalization ($2.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCO leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CMPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.7% ROIC and 47.5% gross margin. ACCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with MH at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MH ACTIVE
McGraw Hill Inc.
D 50/100 33.8x 80.9% 7.6% -4.20% $2.55B Benchmark Subject
CMPR
Cimpress plc (Ireland)
D+ 54/100 99.3x 47.5% 22.7% +0.32% $1.40B /cmpr-vs-mh →
WBTN
WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.
D- 35/100 — 23.3% -8.5% -1.92% $1.20B /wbtn-vs-mh →
DLX
Deluxe Corporation
C- 61/100 12.8x 53.0% — +1.90% $1.04B /dlx-vs-mh →
ACCO
Acco Brands Corporation
C 64/100 9.7x 32.8% 5.0% -0.73% $507.7M /acco-vs-mh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001951070 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +7.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.7M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $246.3M (-57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MH closed FY2025 with $5.64B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.52, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.10B $78.7M $331.2M $246.3M $5.64B $2.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.10B -$85.8M $646.3M $575.2M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.96B -$193.0M $236.2M $236.2M — —

3. MH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, McGraw Hill Inc. (NYSE: MH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $12.78 (-4.20% 1D, market cap $2.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MH ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MH compare to CMPR and WBTN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Publishing), MH carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.8x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, CMPR (Cimpress plc (Ireland)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 99.3x, ROIC 22.7%, cap $1.40B) and WBTN (WEBTOON Entertainment Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.5%, cap $1.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCO leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CMPR leads on capital efficiency (22.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MH?

Per MH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001951070), McGraw Hill Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $78.7M in net income, and $246.3M in free cash flow against $5.64B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MH last traded at $12.78 (-4.20% on volume of 1,072,883 shares), positioning the stock -4.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.34) and +1.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.62). Across its 52-week range of $8.94 to $18.00, MH sits at the 42.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($11.69 to $13.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: MH RQD Cockpit MH 12M Forecast MH Earnings & Move MH Dividends & DRIP MH Insiders & 13F MH Whale Options MH Profit Sankey MH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MH — McGraw Hill Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.78 (-4.20% 1D, market capitalization $2.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.6%, gross margin of 80.9%, operating margin of 13.2%, and free cash flow yield of 9.28%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.52, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.36x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

McGraw Hill Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Publishing industry. The company operates in publishing. Per the market data, gross margin is 80.9%, operating margin 13.2%, and net margin 3.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) reported $2.10B in annual revenue (up from $2.10B in FY2024, +0.1% YoY) and $78.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.96B revenue, -$193.0M net income) through FY2025, MH scaled operating cash flow to $331.2M and free cash flow to $246.3M, backed by $5.64B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.28% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.94 – $18.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 33.8x trailing P/E and 13.6x EV/EBITDA against 13.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Publishing (Consumer Discretionary), MH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 80.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can MH sustain or expand its 13.2% operating margin and 7.6% ROIC against Publishing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.10B and free cash flow of $246.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.61B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MH's 31.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for McGraw Hill Inc. (MH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.78?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.74 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 9.28% and a Microsoft Copilot study-aid catalyst suggest cash generation and product distribution are supportiv

Here is why I am bullish on MH here at $13.34: Free cash flow yield of 9.28% and a Microsoft Copilot study-aid catalyst suggest cash generation and product distribution are supportive.. Compare MH's 13.2% operating margin and 7.6% ROIC against the rest of Publishing. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $12.67 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $13.34 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.14 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $13.34

An Altman Z of 0.52, Debt/Equity of 3.36, and a 33.8 trailing P/E leave the stock exposed to balance-sheet stress and valuation compres

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MH above $13.34. An Altman Z of 0.52, Debt/Equity of 3.36, and a 33.8 trailing P/E leave the stock exposed to balance-sheet stress and valuation compression.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (9.28%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $18.00.

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