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Stock Ratings / Technology / RPD
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Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.86 -10.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.56

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RPD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $14.86 (-10.30% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPD compare to GDYN and BBAI in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, GDYN (Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 79.6x, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.08B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?
▼

Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.56 (-2.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 17% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (17)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE RPD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPD SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$12.92+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$13.22+33.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$17.60-15.6% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$14.86+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RPD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, RPD faces multiple-compression risk if 49.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.09) or 200D SMA ($9.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.26) toward Bear Floor ($11.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.29>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE72% OF RANGE
L: $5$14.86H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (70.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on RPD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

15.9% ROIC with 70.3% gross margin and 12.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.29 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RPD
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RPD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +128.97%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.08H $17.08L $14.86C $14.86VOL 1.63M
RES: $19.00SUP: $12.78SMA50: $13.09SMA200: $9.49
$19.44$15.80$12.16$8.52$4.88RES $19.00SUP $12.78$14.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RPD Butterfly Map → + Track RPD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
35.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPD)

Technology Rank #158 of 715 ⚔️ GDYN vs RPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RPD vs. GDYN, BBAI, GTM, TUYA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #344 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTM leads on earnings valuation at 10.5x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. GDYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RPD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPD ACTIVE
Rapid7 Inc.
C 64/100 49.2x 70.3% 15.9% -10.30% $1.12B Benchmark Subject
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 79.6x 34.6% -0.7% +2.47% $1.08B /gdyn-vs-rpd →
BBAI
BigBear.ai Inc.
E 28/100 — 22.3% -27.5% -0.77% $1.25B /bbai-vs-rpd →
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 52/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% -1.15% $1.27B /gtm-vs-rpd →
TUYA
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 56/100 17.6x 48.2% 6.9% 0.00% $981.3M /tuya-vs-rpd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560327 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) reported GAAP revenue of $859.8M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $844.0M , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.4M, operating cash flow of $153.8M, and free cash flow of $146.2M (-13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPD closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $859.8M $23.4M $153.8M $146.2M $1.73B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $844.0M $25.5M $171.7M $168.2M $1.65B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $777.7M -$152.8M $104.3M $104.3M — —

3. RPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $14.86 (-10.30% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPD compare to GDYN and BBAI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, GDYN (Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 79.6x, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.08B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?

Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPD last traded at $14.86 (-10.30% on volume of 1,780,266 shares), positioning the stock +13.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.09) and +56.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.49). Across its 52-week range of $4.97 to $18.70, RPD sits at the 72.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.00 to $16.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: RPD RQD Cockpit RPD 12M Forecast RPD Earnings & Move RPD Dividends & DRIP RPD Insiders & 13F RPD Whale Options RPD Profit Sankey RPD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RPD — Rapid7 Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $14.86 (-10.30% 1D, market capitalization $1.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.9%, gross margin of 70.3%, operating margin of 1.3%, and free cash flow yield of 12.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.29, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rapid7 Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) reported $859.8M in annual revenue (up from $844.0M in FY2024, +1.9% YoY) and $23.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($777.7M revenue, -$152.8M net income) through FY2025, RPD scaled operating cash flow to $153.8M and free cash flow to $146.2M, backed by $1.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.97 – $18.70 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 49.2x trailing P/E and 50.2x EV/EBITDA against 1.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), RPD carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 70.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can RPD sustain or expand its 1.3% operating margin and 15.9% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $859.8M and free cash flow of $146.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RPD's 45.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RPD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RPD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.71 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation (Whale 13F pillar 17/20) and a 12.7% FCF yield with 15.9% ROIC point to a cash engine investors are paying a

Don't sleep on RPD's setup in Technology. Institutional accumulation (Whale 13F pillar 17/20) and a 12.7% FCF yield with 15.9% ROIC point to a cash engine investors are paying attention to.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 49.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (70.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.75 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.56

At 49.2x TTM P/E and an Altman Z of 0.29, the valuation leaves little margin for error while the balance sheet flags forensic risk.

I respect the product at Rapid7 Inc., but the stock at $16.56 is a different story. At 49.2x TTM P/E and an Altman Z of 0.29, the valuation leaves little margin for error while the balance sheet flags forensic risk.. FCF yield is 12.7% and RQD sits at 64/100 (C) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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