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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RYAAY
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Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$55.29 +2.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.48

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $28.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RYAAY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RYAAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $55.29 (+2.92% 1D, market cap $28.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RYAAY ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RYAAY compare to UAL and LUV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), RYAAY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $33.87B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $20.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAAY?
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For Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #453 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.48 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$78 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE RYAAY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RYAAY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RYAAY SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.6% FCF Margin ($624.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$51.33+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$54.10-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$52.31+5.7% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$55.29-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RYAAY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RYAAY currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($54.02) and Max Pain ($58.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $77.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RYAAY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RYAAY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
50.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE
L: $51$55.29H: $74
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on RYAAY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RYAAY
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RYAAY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RYAAY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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RYAAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.85%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $53.39H $55.29L $53.39C $55.29VOL 2.36M
RES: $54.09SUP: $47.61SMA50: $54.02SMA200: $59.48
$68.75$63.94$59.14$54.33$49.53RES $54.09SUP $47.61$55.292026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RYAAY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RYAAY Butterfly Map → + Track RYAAY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RYAAY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RYAAY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RYAAY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RYAAY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #453 of 1009 ⚔️ UAL vs RYAAY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RYAAY vs. UAL, LUV, FDXF, DAL)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) ranks #453 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #68 by equity capitalization ($28.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while DAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. DAL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with RYAAY at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RYAAY ACTIVE
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.92% $28.27B Benchmark Subject
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x — 14.0% +4.80% $33.87B /ual-vs-ryaay →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D 50/100 48.5x — 3.2% +3.61% $20.77B /luv-vs-ryaay →
FDXF
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.
D 51/100 25.0x — 8.3% +4.61% $18.85B /fdxf-vs-ryaay →
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc.
C+ 68/100 10.7x — 16.2% +4.08% $52.73B /dal-vs-ryaay →

2. RYAAY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $28.27B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. RYAAY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RYAAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $55.29 (+2.92% 1D, market cap $28.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RYAAY ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RYAAY compare to UAL and LUV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), RYAAY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $33.87B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $20.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAAY?

For Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #453 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RYAAY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RYAAY last traded at $55.29 (+2.92% on volume of 2,372,185 shares), positioning the stock +2.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($54.02) and -7.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.48). Across its 52-week range of $51.02 to $74.24, RYAAY sits at the 18.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($52.58 to $58.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: RYAAY RQD Cockpit RYAAY 12M Forecast RYAAY Earnings & Move RYAAY Dividends & DRIP RYAAY Insiders & 13F RYAAY Whale Options RYAAY Profit Sankey RYAAY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RYAAY — Ryanair Holdings plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $55.29 (+2.92% 1D, market capitalization $28.27B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ryanair Holdings plc is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry. The profile identifies the company with a market capitalization of $28.1B. Revenue sources, customer base, and product detail are — Operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9% per the market data section.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $51.02 – $74.24 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is — The only cross-entity context in the source is the news feed's fuel-cost theme, which, if it persists, would act as a 2nd-order pressure on airline margins and on pricing decisions, as the Benzinga headline's airfare warning implies. Sector correlation data is — beyond the beta of 0.9 per the market data section.

  • Key Question #1: Can RYAAY sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $74.24 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RYAAY's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?

RYAAY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RYAAY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RYAAY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $55.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RYAAY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RYAAY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.32 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.

Picked up a starter position in RYAAY in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $53.72. Forensic balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) is the rating's strongest pillar at 16 of 20.. Trading inside a $51.02–$74.24 52-week range with 2.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Air Freight/Delivery Services multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 54/100 quality, though with 0.9 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $53.72 and keeping dry powder in case we test $49.96.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $44.59 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $53.72

Trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 sit against a 2.21% FCF yield and weak whale and macro pillars, with fuel-cost pressure domina

Trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 sit against a 2.21% FCF yield and weak whale and macro pillars, with fuel-cost pressure dominating the news feed.. Look at the math on RYAAY: paying 32.8x trailing P/E for 9.9% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Air Freight/Delivery Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $47.27 before getting long.

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