Should I buy, hold, or sell SIRI stock right now?

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 52.4% gross margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is SIRI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SIRI's 12-month base price target is $30.9 (range $24.1 to $36.46), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SIRI

TME (55) NXST (45) FWONA (63) VSNT (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$29.57 +1.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.62

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.76B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SIRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $29.57 (+1.93% 1D, market cap $9.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SIRI ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SIRI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, TME (Tencent Music Entertainment Group American) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.24B) and NXST (Nexstar Media Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 63.1x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $5.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?

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Per SIRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908937), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. generated $8.56B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $805.0M in net income, and $1.25B in free cash flow against $27.24B in total assets and $7.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.62 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 14.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SIRI SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$26.51+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$26.96+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$27.32+8.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$29.57+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SIRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SIRI faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.54) or 200D SMA ($26.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.90) toward Bear Floor ($24.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SIRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.35>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE76% OF RANGE

L: $20$29.57H: $33

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 33 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SIRI

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

6.4% ROIC with 52.4% gross margin and 12.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.35 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (78)

33/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SIRI

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SIRI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SIRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.46%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $28.67H $29.57L $28.67C $29.57VOL 7.15M

RES: $28.85SUP: $24.97SMA50: $27.54SMA200: $26.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIRI Butterfly Map → + Track SIRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIRI)

Communication Services Rank #15 of 132 ⚔️ TME vs SIRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SIRI vs. TME, NXST, FWONA, VSNT)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #31 by equity capitalization ($9.76B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VSNT leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while TME leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SIRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SIRI ACTIVE SiriusXM Holdings Inc.	C+	68/100	12.0x	52.4%	6.4%	+1.93%	$9.76B	Benchmark Subject
TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group American	D+	55/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+5.95%	$13.24B	/tme-vs-siri →
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc.	D	45/100	63.1x	—	8.4%	+3.56%	$5.28B	/nxst-vs-siri →
FWONA Formula One Group (Series A)	C	63/100	41.8x	—	3.9%	+1.90%	$21.34B	/fwona-vs-siri →
VSNT Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	4.6x	—	9.0%	+2.93%	$4.36B	/vsnt-vs-siri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000908937 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported GAAP revenue of $8.56B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.70B , and -4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $805.0M, operating cash flow of $1.90B, and free cash flow of $1.25B (+22.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SIRI closed FY2025 with $27.24B in total assets against $7.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.56B	$805.0M	$1.90B	$1.25B	$27.24B	$7.05B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.70B	-$2.08B	$1.74B	$1.01B	$27.52B	$7.40B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.95B	$988.0M	$1.83B	$1.43B	$10.74B	$2.51B

3. SIRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?

Where is SIRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIRI last traded at $29.57 (+1.93% on volume of 4,799,193 shares), positioning the stock +7.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.54) and +12.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.35). Across its 52-week range of $19.77 to $32.66, SIRI sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($27.83 to $31.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: SIRI RQD Cockpit SIRI 12M Forecast SIRI Earnings & Move SIRI Dividends & DRIP SIRI Insiders & 13F SIRI Whale Options SIRI Profit Sankey SIRI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SIRI — SiriusXM Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $29.57 (+1.93% 1D, market capitalization $9.76B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of 52.4%, operating margin of 17.2%, and free cash flow yield of 12.88%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.89x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.35, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and Broadcasting industry,. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $8.56B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported $8.56B in annual revenue (up from $8.70B in FY2024, -1.6% YoY) and $805.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.95B revenue, $988.0M net income) through FY2025, SIRI scaled operating cash flow to $1.90B and free cash flow to $1.25B, backed by $27.24B in total assets against $7.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.77 – $32.66 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 12.0x trailing P/E and 8.0x EV/EBITDA against 17.2% operating margins and a 0.89x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Broadcasting (Communication Services), SIRI carries a macro regime beta of 0.89 and gross margin of 52.4%.

Key Question #1: Can SIRI sustain or expand its 17.2% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.56B and free cash flow of $1.25B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.05B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SIRI's 11.2x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.89x)?

SIRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SIRI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) Rebounds Into Focus, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Sirius XM: This Living Dead Is Ready To Rise (NASDAQ:SIRI)

Seeking Alpha report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

What's Going On With SiriusXM Stock Thursday? - Sirius XM Holdings (NASDAQ:SIRI)

Benzinga report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) latest stock news and headlines – Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:SIRI) Stock Has Average Price Target of $32.15

MarketBeat report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sirius XM Sees Unusually High Options Volume (NASDAQ:SIRI)

MarketBeat report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Sirius XM (SIRI) Stock Gains Ground As Q3 Earnings Guidance Improves

Yahoo Finance report covering SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.57?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIRI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.71 (+30.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Low P/E (TTM) of 12 and FCF yield of 12.88% against a beta of 0.89 suggest cash generation is undervalued relative to market risk.

Here is why I am bullish on SIRI here at $29.01: Low P/E (TTM) of 12 and FCF yield of 12.88% against a beta of 0.89 suggest cash generation is undervalued relative to market risk.. Compare SIRI's 17.2% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against the rest of Broadcasting. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $27.56 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $29.01 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.76 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $29.01

An Altman Z of 1.35 and debt rising from $2.51B to $7.05B with cash of only $94.0M signal balance-sheet stress.

I respect the product at SiriusXM Holdings Inc., but the stock at $29.01 is a different story. An Altman Z of 1.35 and debt rising from $2.51B to $7.05B with cash of only $94.0M signal balance-sheet stress.. FCF yield is 12.88% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?