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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SPIR
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Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.54 -3.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.47

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) receives a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID rating (15/100 RQD Confidence). Alongside weak composite pillar scores, our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing operating cash flow (+269.6% (NI vs OCF)).

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $360.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SPIR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 15/100 at a spot price of $8.54 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $360.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPIR compare to CCOI and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), SPIR carries a Roarable E (15/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.2M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $319.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPIR?
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Per SPIR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816017), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) generated $71.6M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), $51.3M in net income, and -$92.6M in free cash flow against $211.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.47 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (15/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510015
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-19.3% Base Target
$27 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE SPIR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPIR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (15/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPIR SCORES 15/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+5/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 25% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 40.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (38.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$9.54-8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
20
Grade E$8.77+9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$9.56-10.7% Next Q
Current
15
Grade E$8.54-12.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (15)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPIR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SPIR currently carries a cautious 15/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.93) and Max Pain ($8.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPIR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPIR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE
L: $7$8.54H: $26
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 0 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● FORENSIC WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SPIR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -23.55% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (20)

SEC filing audit notes an accounting accrual divergence or executive risk-factor disclosure — monitor upcoming 10-Q/10-K filings.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SPIR
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion.
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPIR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SPIR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SPIR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.68H $9.68L $8.54C $8.54VOL 608.7K
RES: $9.57SUP: $8.23SMA50: $10.93SMA200: $13.79
$27.15$22.09$17.02$11.95$6.89RES $9.57SUP $8.23$8.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPIR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPIR Butterfly Map → + Track SPIR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -35.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPIR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPIR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPIR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPIR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1008 of 1009 ⚔️ CCOI vs SPIR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPIR vs. CCOI, GOGO, NSTR, SAIQ)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) ranks #1008 by composite RQD confidence (15/100, grade E) and #626 by equity capitalization ($360.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. NSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with SPIR at 15/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPIR ACTIVE
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 15/100 7.7x — -35.0% -3.72% $360.3M Benchmark Subject
CCOI
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -10.24% $345.2M /ccoi-vs-spir →
GOGO
Gogo Inc.
D 48/100 26.5x — 11.1% -2.12% $319.8M /gogo-vs-spir →
NSTR
NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — — +12.95% $213.0M /nstr-vs-spir →
SAIQ
WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp.
D 49/100 — — — -11.03% $163.5M /saiq-vs-spir →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001816017 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (-35.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.5M , and -26.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.3M, operating cash flow of -$59.8M, and free cash flow of -$92.6M (-105.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPIR closed FY2025 with $211.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $71.6M $51.3M -$59.8M -$92.6M $211.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $110.5M -$103.4M -$18.5M -$45.0M $193.6M $4.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $97.6M -$77.6M -$36.3M -$36.3M — —

3. SPIR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPIR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SPIR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 15/100 at a spot price of $8.54 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $360.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Active quantitative signal ACCOUNTING_MIRAGE (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SPIR compare to CCOI and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), SPIR carries a Roarable E (15/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.2M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $319.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPIR?

Per SPIR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816017), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) generated $71.6M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), $51.3M in net income, and -$92.6M in free cash flow against $211.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPIR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPIR last traded at $8.54 (-3.72% on volume of 555,260 shares), positioning the stock -21.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.93) and -38.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.79). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $25.93, SPIR sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($7.59 to $9.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: SPIR RQD Cockpit SPIR 12M Forecast SPIR Earnings & Move SPIR Dividends & DRIP SPIR Insiders & 13F SPIR Whale Options SPIR Profit Sankey SPIR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 15/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SPIR — Spire Global Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 15/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $8.54 (-3.72% 1D, market capitalization $360.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -23.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (4/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) is listed on the NYSE and classified..4B. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) reported $71.6M in annual revenue (up from $110.5M in FY2024, -35.2% YoY) and $51.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($97.6M revenue, -$77.6M net income) through FY2025, SPIR scaled operating cash flow to -$59.8M and free cash flow to -$92.6M, backed by $211.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 15/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -23.55% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.60 – $25.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: SEC Accrual Watch: Headline earnings grew faster than operating cash flow—monitor working-capital conversion. Investors must weigh 7.7x trailing P/E against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Consumer Discretionary and the industry is Telecommunications Equipment, but no sector correlations are provided. The primary second-order watch item is the accrual signal: a widening gap between reported earnings and operating cash flow, combined with working-capital expansion, is the mechanism through which reported profits could mean-revert. Investors should watch whether receivables continue to build relative to revenue in the next 10-Q.

  • Key Question #1: Can SPIR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $71.6M and free cash flow of -$92.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SPIR's 7.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SPIR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Spire Global Inc. (Class A) (SPIR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPIR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPIR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.54?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPIR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPIR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.00 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FY 2025 net income of $51.3M and a P/E (TTM) of 7.7 suggest the headline earnings multiple looks low.

Here is why I am bullish on SPIR here at $8.87: Reported FY 2025 net income of $51.3M and a P/E (TTM) of 7.7 suggest the headline earnings multiple looks low.. Compare SPIR's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Telecommunications Equipment. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $8.43 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 7.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Telecommunications Equipment. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.54 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $8.87

A -35% ROIC, -23.55% FCF yield, and an Altman Z of 0.2 combine with an 88-severity accrual mirage signal.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SPIR above $8.87. A -35% ROIC, -23.55% FCF yield, and an Altman Z of 0.2 combine with an 88-severity accrual mirage signal.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (0/20) and FCF yield (-23.55%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $25.93.

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