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Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.46 +2.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.47

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $860.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SWIM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.46 (+2.05% 1D, market cap $860.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?
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Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.47 (+0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$9 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE SWIM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWIM SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.11 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$6.09+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$6.31+8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$6.84+9.1% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$7.46-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWIM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SWIM faces multiple-compression risk if 76.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.54) or 200D SMA ($6.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.43) toward Bear Floor ($5.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
73.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.11>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE
L: $5$7.46H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SWIM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

3.5% ROIC with 33.4% gross margin and 4.45% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 2.11 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SWIM
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWIM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SWIM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.62%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $7.26H $7.46L $7.26C $7.46VOL 928.1K
RES: $6.83SUP: $5.42SMA50: $6.54SMA200: $6.17
$8.09$7.15$6.22$5.28$4.35RES $6.83SUP $5.42$7.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SWIM Butterfly Map → + Track SWIM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWIM)

Industrials Rank #154 of 486 ⚔️ KRT vs SWIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SWIM vs. KRT, MYE, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #263 by equity capitalization ($860.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SWIM at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SWIM ACTIVE
Latham Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +2.05% $860.0M Benchmark Subject
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% -1.72% $1.08B /krt-vs-swim →
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -2.20% $1.11B /mye-vs-swim →
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
D- 40/100 — 33.8% 0.5% +15.06% $2.21B /nwl-vs-swim →
CMT
Core Molding Technologies Inc
D 48/100 17.8x 17.4% 8.2% +0.89% $198.2M /cmt-vs-swim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833197 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported GAAP revenue of $545.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $508.5M , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $63.4M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWIM closed FY2025 with $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $545.9M $11.1M $63.4M $38.0M $823.2M $276.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $508.5M -$17.9M $61.3M $41.2M $794.2M $278.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $566.5M -$2.4M $116.4M $116.4M — —

3. SWIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.46 (+2.05% 1D, market cap $860.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?

Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWIM last traded at $7.46 (+2.05% on volume of 1,168,870 shares), positioning the stock +14.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.54) and +20.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.64 to $8.97, SWIM sits at the 65.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($6.89 to $8.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: SWIM RQD Cockpit SWIM 12M Forecast SWIM Earnings & Move SWIM Dividends & DRIP SWIM Insiders & 13F SWIM Whale Options SWIM Profit Sankey SWIM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SWIM — Latham Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.46 (+2.05% 1D, market capitalization $860.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.5%, gross margin of 33.4%, operating margin of 5.6%, and free cash flow yield of 4.45%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.11, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.68x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Plastic Products industry,. The company reports revenue of $545.9M for FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 33.4% and operating margin is 5.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported $545.9M in annual revenue (up from $508.5M in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and $11.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($566.5M revenue, -$2.4M net income) through FY2025, SWIM scaled operating cash flow to $63.4M and free cash flow to $38.0M, backed by $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.45% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.64 – $8.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 76.8x trailing P/E and 21.7x EV/EBITDA against 5.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded for SWIM.

  • Key Question #1: Can SWIM sustain or expand its 5.6% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against Plastic Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $545.9M and free cash flow of $38.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $276.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SWIM's 71.4x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SWIM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SWIM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SWIM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SWIM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SWIM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.21 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 2.11, Debt/Equity 0.68) and FY 2025 net income turning positive at $11.1M on

Long SWIM at $7.31 targeting $9.21. Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 2.11, Debt/Equity 0.68) and FY 2025 net income turning positive at $11.1M on revenue of $545.9M.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.64 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 76.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Plastic Products. If gross margin (33.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.92 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $7.31

Weak return profile with ROIC of 3.5% and FCF yield of 4.45% against a P/E (TTM) of 76.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21.7, alongside a downgrade-d

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SWIM above $7.31. Weak return profile with ROIC of 3.5% and FCF yield of 4.45% against a P/E (TTM) of 76.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21.7, alongside a downgrade-driven 6.6% price drop.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (4.45%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $8.97.

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