ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Materials / TMCR
PLG (44) NVA (36) GLDG (46) SBMT (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.25 +15.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.31

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $131.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TMCR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.25 (+15.39% 1D, market cap $131.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TMCR compare to PLG and NVA in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TMCR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PLG (Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $134.3M) and NVA (Nova Minerals Corp) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $145.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMCR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMCR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMCR?
▼

For The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #181 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.31 (+2.58%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.2% Base Target
$22 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE TMCR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMCR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TMCR SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($3.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$2.67-20.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.12+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$2.12+6.1% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$2.25-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TMCR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TMCR currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.92) and Max Pain ($2.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TMCR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TMCR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
27.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.25H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TMCR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (32)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TMCR
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMCR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TMCR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TMCR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -85.57%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $2.07H $2.25L $1.95C $2.25VOL 103.3K
RES: $3.51SUP: $1.06SMA50: $3.92SMA200: $7.91
$18.99$14.32$9.65$4.99$0.32RES $3.51SUP $1.06$2.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TMCR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TMCR Butterfly Map → + Track TMCR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMCR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMCR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMCR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMCR)

Materials Rank #181 of 270 ⚔️ PLG vs TMCR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TMCR vs. PLG, NVA, GLDG, SBMT)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #221 by equity capitalization ($131.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMCR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMCR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. GLDG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with TMCR at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TMCR ACTIVE
The Metals Royalty Company Inc.
D 44/100 — — — +15.39% $131.5M Benchmark Subject
PLG
Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada)
D 44/100 — — — -3.81% $134.3M /plg-vs-tmcr →
NVA
Nova Minerals Corp
D- 36/100 — — — +22.31% $145.5M /nva-vs-tmcr →
GLDG
GoldMining Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -0.65% $155.5M /gldg-vs-tmcr →
SBMT
Silver Bow Mining Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — -7.03% $176.3M /sbmt-vs-tmcr →

2. TMCR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $131.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TMCR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.25 (+15.39% 1D, market cap $131.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does TMCR compare to PLG and NVA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TMCR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PLG (Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $134.3M) and NVA (Nova Minerals Corp) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $145.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMCR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMCR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMCR?

For The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #181 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TMCR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TMCR last traded at $2.25 (+15.39% on volume of 197,000 shares), positioning the stock -42.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.92) and -71.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.91). Across its 52-week range of $1.77 to $21.38, TMCR sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.97 to $2.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: TMCR RQD Cockpit TMCR 12M Forecast TMCR Earnings & Move TMCR Dividends & DRIP TMCR Insiders & 13F TMCR Whale Options TMCR Profit Sankey TMCR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TMCR — The Metals Royalty Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.25 (+15.39% 1D, market capitalization $131.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry,. Market capitalization is $0.1B. — Customers, products sold, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.77 – $21.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The liquidity signal implies a high sensitivity to net liquidity conditions (4.87x beta), so a contraction in liquidity would be a 2nd-order driver of price pressure.

  • Key Question #1: Can TMCR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $21.38 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TMCR's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TMCR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TMCR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TMCR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TMCR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TMCR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.32 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 with Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the RQD rat

Don't sleep on TMCR's setup in Materials. The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 with Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (44/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 44/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.95 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.81.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $1.95

The Macro Tailwind Score is 18/100 with a bearish liquidity signal and a 4.87x Net Liquidity beta, while ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TMCR: The Macro Tailwind Score is 18/100 with a bearish liquidity signal and a 4.87x Net Liquidity beta, while ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Precious Metals triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%