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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TME
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Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.91 +5.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.99

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $13.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TME Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (NYSE: TME) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $8.91 (+5.95% 1D, market cap $13.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TME ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TME compare to SIRI and FWONA in the Communication Services sector?
▼

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), TME carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SIRI (SiriusXM Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $9.76B) and FWONA (Formula One Group (Series A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $21.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIRI leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TME?
▼

For Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #44 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.99 (+0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$24 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE TME RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TME)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TME SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$8.48-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$8.44-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$8.33+7% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$8.91-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TME Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TME faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.25) or 200D SMA ($10.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.79) toward Bear Floor ($6.86).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TME• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TME Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.74>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE
L: $8$8.91H: $23
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on TME

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

9.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.74 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TME
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TME)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TME's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $8.37H $8.91L $8.37C $8.91VOL 6.27M
RES: $9.98SUP: $7.57SMA50: $8.25SMA200: $10.12
$19.02$15.94$12.86$9.78$6.70RES $9.98SUP $7.57$8.912026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TME Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TME Butterfly Map → + Track TME →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TME today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TME. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TME today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TME)

Communication Services Rank #44 of 132 ⚔️ SIRI vs TME Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TME vs. SIRI, FWONA, FWONK, FOX)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($13.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SIRI leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FOX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TME at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TME ACTIVE
Tencent Music Entertainment Group American
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.95% $13.24B Benchmark Subject
SIRI
SiriusXM Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 12.0x 52.4% 6.4% +1.93% $9.76B /siri-vs-tme →
FWONA
Formula One Group (Series A)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% +1.90% $21.34B /fwona-vs-tme →
FWONK
Formula One Group (Series C)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% +2.14% $23.18B /fwonk-vs-tme →
FOX
Fox Corporation (Class B)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -0.43% $23.70B /fox-vs-tme →

2. TME Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) operates in Broadcasting (Communication Services) with an equity capitalization of $13.24B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. TME Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TME stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (NYSE: TME) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $8.91 (+5.95% 1D, market cap $13.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TME ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TME compare to SIRI and FWONA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), TME carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SIRI (SiriusXM Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $9.76B) and FWONA (Formula One Group (Series A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $21.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIRI leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TME?

For Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #44 in Communication Services, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TME trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TME last traded at $8.91 (+5.95% on volume of 9,794,236 shares), positioning the stock +8.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.25) and -11.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.12). Across its 52-week range of $7.66 to $23.25, TME sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($8.47 to $9.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: TME RQD Cockpit TME 12M Forecast TME Earnings & Move TME Dividends & DRIP TME Insiders & 13F TME Whale Options TME Profit Sankey TME News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TME — Tencent Music Entertainment Group American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.91 (+5.95% 1D, market capitalization $13.24B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.04x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tencent Music Entertainment Group American is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, Broadcasting industry. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.66 – $23.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.04x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Broadcasting (Communication Services), TME carries a macro regime beta of 1.04 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can TME sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $23.25 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TME's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.04x)?

TME Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tencent Music Entertainment Group American (TME) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TME Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 7d ago
Citic Securities shares fall on soft Q3 profit

Investing.com -- Citic Securities shares fell on Tuesday after the Chinese brokerage giant posted a 20.2% decline in third-quarter net profit on Monday, hurt chiefly by sluggish retail trading and overall weakness in dom

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TME Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.91?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TME 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TME:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.51 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16 out of 20 with Altman Z 3.74 and Piotroski F 7/9, indicating low solvency stress.

Don't sleep on TME's setup in Communication Services. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 out of 20 with Altman Z 3.74 and Piotroski F 7/9, indicating low solvency stress.. Beta of 1.04 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (55/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.41 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.64 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.41

Weak whale flow (7/20) and macro regime fit (9/20) combined with a 32.8 P/E and 2.21% FCF yield leave valuation poorly supported by cas

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TME: Weak whale flow (7/20) and macro regime fit (9/20) combined with a 32.8 P/E and 2.21% FCF yield leave valuation poorly supported by cash returns.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Broadcasting triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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