Yahoo Finance report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AADX Stock dropped -5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AADX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (NYSE: AADX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.15 (-5.67% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AADX compare to RDW and VOYG in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), AADX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RDW (Redwire Corporation) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B) and VOYG (Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AADX?
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Per AADX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002118195), Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $999.3M in total assets and $627.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.4% FCF Margin ($57.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.1) create a -15 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AADX Turnaround Squeeze
While AADX currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.99) and Max Pain ($11.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.45.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AADX Stock dropped -5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) dropped -5.67% to $11.15, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($9.4 – $24.24). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($9.4 – $24.24) with RSI-14 at 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $11.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: AADX Exhibits 6.00x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B
TradingView report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AADX)
- ✓Walkthrough of AADX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AADX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AADX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AADX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AADX)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AADX vs. RDW, VOYG, DCO, ATRO)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) ranks #325 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #210 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with AADX at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AADX
ACTIVE
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | -5.67% | $2.04B | Benchmark Subject |
| RDW Redwire Corporation | E | 32/100 | — | 5.2% | -17.4% | -8.41% | $2.29B | /rdw-vs-aadx → |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A) | E | 18/100 | — | 18.0% | -35.0% | -4.93% | $1.72B | /voyg-vs-aadx → |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | D- | 40/100 | — | 26.9% | -3.1% | -4.63% | $2.54B | /dco-vs-aadx → |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | 92.1x | 29.9% | 13.2% | -5.55% | $2.70B | /atro-vs-aadx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002118195In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AADX closed FY2025 with $999.3M in total assets against $627.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $999.3M | $627.0M |
3. AADX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AADX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (NYSE: AADX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.15 (-5.67% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does AADX compare to RDW and VOYG in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), AADX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RDW (Redwire Corporation) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B) and VOYG (Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AADX?
Per AADX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002118195), Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $999.3M in total assets and $627.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AADX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AADX last traded at $11.15 (-5.67% on volume of 2,228,069 shares), positioning the stock -7.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.99) and -29.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.89). Across its 52-week range of $9.40 to $24.24, AADX sits at the 11.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.76 to $12.54).
AADX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AADX stock moving today?
Why AADX Stock dropped -5.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AADX — Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AADX scores 42 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating a measurable return on invested capital or free cash flow yield per the source data. Whale 13F Flow scores 6/20, reflecting weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 9/20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 5/20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted as a weakness. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11/20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.93.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers are limited to the macro liquidity signal and recent price momentum, which the source data flags as bullish, rather than to the operating fundamentals, which the rating scores low. The valuation tradeoff is significant: with zero reported margins, ROIC, and FCF yield, and no available P/E or EV/EBITDA, the source data does not provide a fundamental anchor for value. The leverage level (Debt/Equity 3.93 against $15.5M cash and $627.0M debt in the SEC financials) is the primary risk to the equity cushion. The rating's conclusion is that the balance sheet and cash flow profile are vulnerable, so near-term price moves should be weighed against that structural weakness.
Business
Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Military/Government/Technical industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported FY 2025 revenue is $0.0M, so the source data does not establish how the company generates income. Not available in source data for the remainder of the business description.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | N/A | $15.5M | $627.0M |
Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 reports zero revenue, operating income, and net income, with EPS and FCF listed as N/A. Per the Roarable RQD rating, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.93 per the forensic balance sheet pillar. Cash of $15.5M against debt of $627.0M indicates a leveraged balance sheet in the source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Recent headlines in the news feed (all tagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) include an RBC-referenced note that the outlook is "Supported by Defense Demand and Backlog," a MarketBeat report of a 5.9% price decline, a Benzinga piece on Jim Cramer's comments, a TradingView estimates report, a Yahoo Finance watchlist mention, and a Stock Titan item on an accounting chief receiving 3,800 stock units. The defense-demand and backlog framing is the most fundamentally relevant catalyst in the feed, though the source data does not quantify backlog. The Stock Titan item is a compensation-related filing with no stated directional signal.
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph carries a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal with severity 94 and direction BULLISH, labeled MACRO TAILWIND SCORE (96/100). It cites a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B, a 4-week rate of change of -0.64%, High-Yield OAS of +2 bps, and a rolling five-year liquidity beta of 6.00x (r = -0.17). Risk watch items: the source's own correlation (r = -0.17) is weak, the 6.00x beta is sensitive to the liquidity series, and the rating's fundamental pillars remain weak. Recent price action per the market data is +7.65% on the day with volume of 2,123,998.
Open Questions
- What are AADX's specific products, government and defense customers, and contract structure, given that the source data reports zero revenue?
- Why does FY 2025 show $0.0M revenue and net income despite a $2.04B market capitalization, and what explains the gap?
- What is the composition and maturity of the $627.0M debt, and how does it compare to the $15.5M cash position?
- What is the reported backlog referenced in the RBC-related headline, and what contracts comprise it?
- What drove the 52-week range of $9.4 to $24.24, and what institutional or insider activity accompanied it?
AADX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. (AADX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AADX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.15?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AADX (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $11.82?
Welcome to the AADX (Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on AADX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AADX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
AADX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AADX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.82 (52-wk range $9.40 - $24.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.