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Stock Ratings / Financials / AAMI / earnings
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Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

$87.52 -1.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.11

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.16B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AAMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: AAMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $87.52 (-1.57% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAMI ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AAMI compare to HTGC and FSK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), AAMI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.3%. By comparison, HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $3.14B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAMI?
▼

Per AAMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001748824), Acadian Asset Management Inc. generated $563.7M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), $80.0M in net income, and -$27.8M in free cash flow against $677.0M in total assets and $266.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.11 (-0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$103 Bull$84 Base$66 Bear
📬 FREE AAMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AAMI SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$91.10+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$95.11-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$91.27-4.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$87.52-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AAMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AAMI currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($92.44) and Max Pain ($91.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $103.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AAMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$5.69 Expected Swing
$81.83 (-6.5%)Spot $87.52$93.21 (+6.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AAMI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $2.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.5%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$563.7M$80.0M-$27.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$505.6M$85.0M$33.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$426.6M$65.8M$49.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AAMI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AAMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AAMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $91.32H $91.32L $87.52C $87.52VOL 625.4K
RES: $96.03SUP: $86.43SMA50: $92.44SMA200: $74.36
$101.9$87.87$73.84$59.80$45.76RES $96.03SUP $86.43$87.522026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AAMI Butterfly Map → + Track AAMI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
30.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAMI)

Financials Rank #643 of 1097 ⚔️ HTGC vs AAMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AAMI vs. HTGC, FSK, NAN, APAM)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) ranks #643 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #353 by equity capitalization ($3.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while APAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 71.9% ROIC and — gross margin. APAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AAMI at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AAMI ACTIVE
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D 50/100 40.5x — 40.3% -1.57% $3.16B Benchmark Subject
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 42/100 9.3x — 15.3% -0.36% $3.14B /htgc-vs-aami →
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp.
D 51/100 — — 0.2% +3.72% $3.05B /fsk-vs-aami →
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
D 45/100 — — — +0.30% $3.03B /nan-vs-aami →
APAM
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 10.2x — 71.9% +5.06% $2.97B /apam-vs-aami →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001748824 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) reported GAAP revenue of $563.7M (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $505.6M , and +32.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $80.0M, operating cash flow of -$2.4M, and free cash flow of -$27.8M (-184.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAMI closed FY2025 with $677.0M in total assets against $266.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $563.7M $80.0M -$2.4M -$27.8M $677.0M $266.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $505.6M $85.0M $55.8M $33.0M $703.2M $277.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $426.6M $65.8M $68.3M $49.1M $1.78B $417.1M

3. AAMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AAMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Acadian Asset Management Inc. (NYSE: AAMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $87.52 (-1.57% 1D, market cap $3.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AAMI ranks #643 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AAMI compare to HTGC and FSK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), AAMI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 40.3%. By comparison, HTGC (Hercules Capital Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $3.14B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAMI?

Per AAMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001748824), Acadian Asset Management Inc. generated $563.7M in revenue (+11.5% YoY), $80.0M in net income, and -$27.8M in free cash flow against $677.0M in total assets and $266.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AAMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AAMI last traded at $87.52 (-1.57% on volume of 580,540 shares), positioning the stock -5.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($92.44) and +17.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.36). Across its 52-week range of $41.47 to $98.52, AAMI sits at the 80.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($81.83 to $93.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: AAMI RQD Cockpit AAMI 12M Forecast AAMI Earnings & Move AAMI Dividends & DRIP AAMI Insiders & 13F AAMI Whale Options AAMI Profit Sankey AAMI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AAMI — Acadian Asset Management Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $87.52 (-1.57% 1D, market capitalization $3.16B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 40.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 23.4%, and free cash flow yield of -0.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Investment Managers industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) reported $563.7M in annual revenue (up from $505.6M in FY2024, +11.5% YoY) and $80.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($426.6M revenue, $65.8M net income) through FY2025, AAMI scaled operating cash flow to -$2.4M and free cash flow to -$27.8M, backed by $677.0M in total assets against $266.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.86% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $41.47 – $98.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 40.5x trailing P/E and 22.2x EV/EBITDA against 23.4% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), AAMI carries a macro regime beta of 1.08 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can AAMI sustain or expand its 23.4% operating margin and 40.3% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $563.7M and free cash flow of -$27.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $266.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AAMI's 37.7x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

AAMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AAMI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AAMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $87.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AAMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AAMI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $106.70 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 40.3% and revenue growth from $426.6M to $563.7M show strong underlying profitability and scale.

Long AAMI at $88.92 targeting $106.70. ROIC of 40.3% and revenue growth from $426.6M to $563.7M show strong underlying profitability and scale.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $41.47 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AAMI's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $72.03 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $88.92

Negative FCF yield of -0.86% and FY 2025 FCF of -$27.8M indicate reported earnings are not converting to cash at a 40.5 P/E.

I respect the product at Acadian Asset Management Inc., but the stock at $88.92 is a different story. Negative FCF yield of -0.86% and FY 2025 FCF of -$27.8M indicate reported earnings are not converting to cash at a 40.5 P/E.. FCF yield is -0.86% and RQD sits at 50/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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