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Why ABTS Stock dropped -11.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.05 -11.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ABTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.05 (-11.76% 1D, market cap $3.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #660 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?
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Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03 (-2.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ABTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABTS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$1.19-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$1.16-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$1.15-8.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$1.05-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.28) and Max Pain ($1.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ABTS Stock dropped -11.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) dropped -11.76% to $1.05, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($0.76 – $7.29). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (38% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($0.76 – $7.29) with RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $1.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ABTS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.20H $1.20L $1.05C $1.05VOL 2.2K
RES: $1.76SUP: $0.79SMA50: $1.28SMA200: $1.71
$4.87$3.76$2.64$1.53$0.41RES $1.76SUP $0.79$1.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTS)

Financials Rank #660 of 1097 ⚔️ SNTG vs ABTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTS vs. SNTG, ALP, BTCT, PWCM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Abits Group Inc (ABTS) ranks #660 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #1085 by equity capitalization ($3.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ABTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ABTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABTS ACTIVE
Abits Group Inc
D 50/100 — — 37.7% -11.76% $3.8M Benchmark Subject
SNTG
Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -24.3% -0.58% $4.8M /sntg-vs-abts →
ALP
Alpha Compute Corp
D 46/100 — — — 0.00% $5.1M /alp-vs-abts →
BTCT
BTC Digital Ltd.
E 23/100 — — -18.9% +0.91% $7.9M /btct-vs-abts →
PWCM
PowerCompute Inc.
E 24/100 — — -35.0% -17.02% $1.7M /pwcm-vs-abts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864055 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Abits Group Inc (ABTS) reported GAAP revenue of $9.1M (+36.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and +442.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.7M (-148.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTS closed FY2025 with $10.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.1M -$2.9M $1.4M -$1.7M $10.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.7M -$909.7K $1.9M -$679.6K $11.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.7M -$12.6M $1.8M $1.8M — —

3. ABTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.05 (-11.76% 1D, market cap $3.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #660 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?

Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTS last traded at $1.05 (-11.76% on volume of 29,871 shares), positioning the stock -17.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.28) and -38.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.71). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $7.29, ABTS sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($1.00 to $1.16).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ABTS — Abits Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.05 (-11.76% 1D, market capitalization $3.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 37.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 40.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry,. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Net income is negative and the operating margin is 40.3% per the market data. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Abits Group Inc (ABTS) reported $9.1M in annual revenue (up from $6.7M in FY2024, +36.0% YoY) and -$2.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.7M revenue, -$12.6M net income) through FY2025, ABTS scaled operating cash flow to $1.4M and free cash flow to -$1.7M, backed by $10.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.76 – $7.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 40.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), ABTS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ABTS sustain or expand its 40.3% operating margin and 37.7% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.1M and free cash flow of -$1.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ABTS's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ABTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Abits Group Inc (ABTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ABTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (+22.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income of $3.7M on $9.1M revenue in FY 2025 and a 37.7% ROIC point to an operating engine that is generating returns on capit

The street is overcomplicating Abits Group Inc (ABTS). Operating income of $3.7M on $9.1M revenue in FY 2025 and a 37.7% ROIC point to an operating engine that is generating returns on capital.. With an RQD score of 50/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.29.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.19 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.99 (-16.8%)
Spot @ $1.19

The 0% FCF yield, negative net margin of -31.4%, and a D rating with weak institutional and insider flow signal limited cash conversion

I respect the product at Abits Group Inc, but the stock at $1.19 is a different story. The 0% FCF yield, negative net margin of -31.4%, and a D rating with weak institutional and insider flow signal limited cash conversion and sponsorship.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 50/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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